NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRAD TOL
Points 82.0 69.0
Total Points   151.0
Points From 2-Pointers 44.8 34.2
Points From 3-Pointers 27.1 17.6
Points From Free Throws 10.1 17.2
Shooting BRAD TOL
Field Goals Made 31.4 23.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 56.7
Field Goal % 54.3% 40.5%
2 Pointers Made 22.4 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 33.9 40.1
2 Point Shooting % 66.0% 42.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 24.0 16.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 10.1 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 13.6 23.2
Free Throw % 74.3% 74.2%
Ball Control BRAD TOL
Rebounds 34.8 30.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 20.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 10.0
Turnovers 11.8 10.4
Blocked Shots 5.4 1.1
Steals 6.3 6.6
Fouls 15.8 12.5

Playing Style Advantage: Toledo

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRAD TOL
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.0 70.1
% of Possessions with BRAD TOL
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 48.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 20.0%
Player Fouled 17.7% 22.4%
Turnover 16.7% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRAD TOL
Shot Blocked 2.0% 9.5%
Offensive Rebound 29.0% 27.3%