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W Michigan at Buffalo
Tue Jan 21, 2020
7:00pm ET
Buffalo, NY
W Michigan at Buffalo: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Buffalo by 10, Total Points: 154
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | WMU | adv | BUFF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-14-0 | 12-18-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-7-0 | 7-11-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 7-6-0 | 3-11-0 | |
| Away | 10-8-0 | 9-7-0 |
W Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Dakota St | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Georgia St | +5.5 | L by 7 | -1.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Northwestern | +23.5 | L by 4 | +19.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | Ohio St | +21.5 | L by 17 | +4.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | SE Louisiana | +2.0 | W by 1 | +3.0 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Mercer | +1.0 | W by 6 | +7.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | St. Thomas | -3.0 | L by 14 | -17.0 |
| 12/05 | Away | Notre Dame | +9.5 | L by 21 | -11.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Youngs St | +5.0 | L by 4 | +1.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | IL-Chicago | +11.5 | L by 21 | -9.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | Cleveland St | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Aquinas | -- | W by 56 | -- |
| 01/02 | Away | Miami (OH) | +5.0 | W by 9 | +14.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Buffalo | +3.0 | W by 5 | +8.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | N Illinois | -3.0 | W by 5 | +2.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Ohio | +4.0 | W by 2 | +6.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Akron | +14.0 | L by 11 | +3.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Bowling Grn | +9.0 | L by 5 | +4.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | E Michigan | -4.5 | W by 17 | +12.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Central Mich | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Toledo | +11.5 | L by 25 | -13.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Ball St | -1.0 | L by 10 | -11.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Kent St | +10.0 | L by 2 | +8.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | S Mississippi | +7.5 | L by 32 | -24.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Central Mich | +5.5 | L by 27 | -21.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Miami (OH) | +3.5 | W by 19 | +22.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Buffalo | -6.0 | W by 19 | +13.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | E Michigan | -2.5 | L by 3 | -5.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Ball St | +6.5 | W by 2 | +8.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Bowling Grn | -2.0 | L by 8 | -10.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Akron | +9.0 | W by 6 | +15.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Ohio | +9.0 | L by 27 | -18.0 |
Buffalo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | F Dickinson | -6.0 | L by 6 | -12.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | S Alabama | +1.0 | L by 14 | -13.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Roberts Wesleyan | -- | W by 6 | -- |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Hofstra | +9.5 | L by 34 | -24.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Louisiana | +9.5 | L by 8 | +1.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Iona | +6.5 | L by 25 | -18.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | James Mad | +23.5 | L by 15 | +8.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | St Bonavent | +9.5 | L by 15 | -5.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Butler | +24.5 | L by 13 | +11.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | W Kentucky | +7.0 | L by 17 | -10.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Richmond | +15.5 | L by 6 | +9.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Niagara | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Central Mich | +2.0 | W by 12 | +14.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | W Michigan | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Miami (OH) | -2.0 | L by 21 | -23.0 |
| 01/12 | Away | Akron | +16.0 | L by 17 | -1.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Toledo | +15.0 | L by 11 | +4.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Ball St | +1.5 | L by 28 | -26.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | E Michigan | +3.5 | L by 10 | -6.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Ohio | +13.5 | L by 21 | -7.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | Kent St | +8.0 | L by 31 | -23.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Bowling Grn | +12.5 | L by 14 | -1.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | GA Southern | +9.0 | W by 1 | +10.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | N Illinois | +9.0 | L by 4 | +5.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Akron | +13.5 | L by 11 | +2.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | E Michigan | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | W Michigan | +6.0 | L by 19 | -13.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Kent St | +14.5 | L by 12 | +2.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Toledo | +10.5 | L by 6 | +4.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Ohio | +11.5 | L by 12 | -0.5 |
| 03/08 | Home | N Illinois | +1.5 | L by 10 | -8.5 |
| BUFF -10.0 | Open | -10.0 | High | -10.5 |
| Last | -10.5 | Low | -10.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2102 games where the closing line favored the home team by 8.5 to 10.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Buffalo won the game 1733 times (82.4%).
- The team like Western Michigan won the game 369 times (17.6%).
- The team like Western Michigan did better against the spread, going 1054-1013-35 (51.0% ATS).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4335 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Western Michigan did better against the spread, going 2144-2107-84 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -9.5 | -10.0 | -10.0 |
| Open | -10.5 | -10.0 | -10.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/21 07:00 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 01/21 06:59 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 06:31 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 02:00 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 01:29 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 12:46 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 12:26 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 09:46 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 08:45 AM | -- | -- | -10.0 |
| 01/21 08:41 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 10:35 PM | -- | -- | -10.5 |
| 01/20 06:20 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
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