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W Michigan at Dayton
Wed Nov 30, 2022
7:00pm ET
Dayton, OH
W Michigan at Dayton: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Dayton by 18, Total Points: 127
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | WMU | adv | DAY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-14-0 | 16-16-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-7-0 | 9-10-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 7-6-0 | 6-9-0 | |
| Away | 10-8-0 | 10-7-1 |
W Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Dakota St | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Georgia St | +5.5 | L by 7 | -1.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Northwestern | +23.5 | L by 4 | +19.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | Ohio St | +21.5 | L by 17 | +4.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | SE Louisiana | +2.0 | W by 1 | +3.0 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Mercer | +1.0 | W by 6 | +7.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | St. Thomas | -3.0 | L by 14 | -17.0 |
| 12/05 | Away | Notre Dame | +9.5 | L by 21 | -11.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Youngs St | +5.0 | L by 4 | +1.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | IL-Chicago | +11.5 | L by 21 | -9.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | Cleveland St | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Aquinas | -- | W by 56 | -- |
| 01/02 | Away | Miami (OH) | +5.0 | W by 9 | +14.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Buffalo | +3.0 | W by 5 | +8.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | N Illinois | -3.0 | W by 5 | +2.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Ohio | +4.0 | W by 2 | +6.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Akron | +14.0 | L by 11 | +3.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Bowling Grn | +9.0 | L by 5 | +4.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | E Michigan | -4.5 | W by 17 | +12.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Central Mich | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Toledo | +11.5 | L by 25 | -13.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Ball St | -1.0 | L by 10 | -11.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Kent St | +10.0 | L by 2 | +8.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | S Mississippi | +7.5 | L by 32 | -24.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Central Mich | +5.5 | L by 27 | -21.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Miami (OH) | +3.5 | W by 19 | +22.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Buffalo | -6.0 | W by 19 | +13.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | E Michigan | -2.5 | L by 3 | -5.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Ball St | +6.5 | W by 2 | +8.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Bowling Grn | -2.0 | L by 8 | -10.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Akron | +9.0 | W by 6 | +15.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Ohio | +9.0 | L by 27 | -18.0 |
Dayton Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | SIU Edward | -17.5 | W by 16 | -1.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Northwestern | +5.0 | L by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | LSU | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | St Johns | -1.0 | W by 7 | +6.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Houston | +12.5 | L by 14 | -1.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Youngs St | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | S Methodist | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Grambling St | -21.5 | W by 30 | +8.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Troy | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Cincinnati | +5.5 | W by 14 | +19.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Oakland | -12.0 | W by 24 | +12.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Longwood | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Davidson | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | U Mass | -7.5 | W by 4 | -3.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Duquesne | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Saint Louis | -13.0 | W by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Rhode Island | -12.5 | W by 34 | +21.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | La Salle | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Richmond | -3.5 | L by 5 | -8.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Geo Wshgtn | -12.5 | W by 22 | +9.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | St Bonavent | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | St Josephs | -2.0 | W by 15 | +13.0 |
| 02/09 | Away | VCU | -2.0 | L by 2 | -4.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | Duquesne | -8.0 | W by 16 | +8.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Fordham | -13.0 | W by 8 | -5.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Geo Mason | -3.5 | L by 4 | -7.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Davidson | -10.5 | W by 14 | +3.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Loyola-Chi | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Saint Louis | -9.5 | W by 17 | +7.5 |
| 03/08 | Home | VCU | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Duquesne | -7.0 | L by 8 | -15.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Nevada | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Arizona | +8.5 | L by 10 | -1.5 |
| DAY -18.0 | Open | -21.0 | High | -21.0 |
| Last | -17.5 | Low | -17.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 683 games where the closing line favored the home team by 17 to 19 points. In these games:
- The team like Dayton won the game 663 times (97.1%).
- The team like Western Michigan won the game 20 times (2.9%).
- The team like Western Michigan did better against the spread, going 334-333-16 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 261 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Dayton did better against the spread, going 139-116-6 (54.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -18.0 | -18.0 | -- |
| Open | -19.5 | -20.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/30 06:50 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 05:56 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 05:34 PM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 11/30 04:47 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 02:41 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 12:41 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 11:34 AM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 11/30 10:08 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 09:27 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 08:37 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 08:14 AM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 11/30 08:05 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 01:34 AM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 11/30 01:13 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 09:49 PM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 07:44 PM | -- | -20.0 | -- |
| 11/29 04:37 PM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
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