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Samford vs. Mercer
Fri Mar 5, 2021
8:00pm ET
Asheville, NC
(Neutral Site)
Samford vs. Mercer: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Mercer by 7.5, Total Points: 147.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | SAM | adv | MER |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-14-0 | 17-12-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-9-0 | 11-8-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-1-1 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-3-1 | |
| Home | 9-7-0 | 8-4-0 | |
| Away | 10-7-0 | 9-8-1 |
Samford Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Purdue | +19.5 | L by 53 | -33.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | VCU | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Mississippi College | -- | W by 44 | -- |
| 11/17 | Home | S Car State | -21.0 | W by 17 | -4.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Alabama St | -14.5 | W by 32 | +17.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Merrimack | -10.5 | W by 8 | -2.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | NC A&T | -21.0 | W by 18 | -3.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Louisiana | -3.5 | W by 23 | +19.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | La Grange | -- | W by 46 | -- |
| 12/11 | Home | Alab A&M | -18.0 | W by 27 | +9.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Belmont | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Valparaiso | -8.5 | W by 18 | +9.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | TX Southern | -6.0 | W by 22 | +16.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Chattanooga | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Citadel | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | VMI | -24.0 | W by 38 | +14.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | W Carolina | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Mercer | -13.0 | W by 7 | -6.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Furman | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | E Tenn St | -6.0 | W by 3 | -3.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Wofford | -11.5 | W by 2 | -9.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Chattanooga | +1.5 | W by 22 | +23.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | NC-Grnsboro | +1.0 | W by 9 | +10.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | VMI | -19.5 | W by 39 | +19.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | W Carolina | -6.5 | W by 26 | +19.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Mercer | -10.0 | L by 4 | -14.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Furman | -7.5 | W by 2 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | E Tenn St | -11.0 | W by 16 | +5.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Wofford | -5.5 | L by 22 | -27.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Citadel | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Mercer | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Furman | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | E Tenn St | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Kansas | +7.5 | L by 4 | +3.5 |
Mercer Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Clark Atlanta | -- | L by 7 | -- |
| 11/09 | Away | Chicago St | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Morehead St | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Alabama | +30.5 | L by 31 | -0.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | TN State | +3.0 | W by 1 | +4.0 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | W Michigan | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | Georgia | +13.5 | L by 11 | +2.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | S Alabama | -3.5 | L by 21 | -24.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Georgia St | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Fla Gulf Cst | -1.5 | W by 5 | +3.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | Queens | -3.5 | W by 19 | +15.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Thomas (GA) | -- | W by 23 | -- |
| 12/29 | Home | Talladega | -- | W by 24 | -- |
| 01/03 | Away | E Tenn St | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | VMI | -4.5 | W by 22 | +17.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Wofford | +5.0 | L by 1 | +4.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | W Carolina | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Chattanooga | +2.5 | L by 14 | -11.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Samford | +13.0 | L by 7 | +6.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Citadel | +1.5 | L by 2 | -0.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | NC-Grnsboro | +11.5 | W by 6 | +17.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | E Tenn St | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | VMI | -12.5 | W by 21 | +8.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Furman | +4.5 | W by 9 | +13.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | W Carolina | +7.0 | L by 33 | -26.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Wofford | -2.0 | L by 13 | -15.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Samford | +10.0 | W by 4 | +14.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Citadel | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | +4.5 | W by 14 | +18.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Chattanooga | +9.0 | L by 9 | 0.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Furman | +9.5 | W by 7 | +16.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | Citadel | -5.0 | W by 8 | +3.0 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Samford | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
| MER -7.5 | Open | -7.0 | High | -8.0 |
| Last | -8.0 | Low | -7.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2844 games where the closing line favored the home team by 6.5 to 8.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Mercer won the game 2168 times (76.2%).
- The team like Samford won the game 676 times (23.8%).
- The team like Mercer did better against the spread, going 1398-1398-48 (50.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 689 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Samford did better against the spread, going 344-318-27 (52.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -8.0 | -7.5 | -7.5 |
| Open | -7.5 | -7.5 | -7.5 |
| History | |||
| 03/05 07:50 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 07:38 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 07:25 PM | -- | -- | -7.5 |
| 03/05 06:35 PM | -- | -- | -8.0 |
| 03/05 06:32 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 04:55 PM | -- | -- | -7.5 |
| 03/05 04:38 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 11:56 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 09:14 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 10:15 PM | -- | -- | -7.5 |
| 03/04 05:44 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/04 05:32 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
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