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Gonzaga vs. Purdue
Fri Mar 29, 2024
7:39pm ET
Detroit, MI
(Neutral Site)
Gonzaga vs. Purdue: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Purdue by 4.5, Total Points: 155.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | GONZ | adv | PUR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-17-0 | 21-16-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-8-0 | 9-13-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 6-8-0 | 7-8-1 | |
| Away | 11-9-0 | 14-8-1 |
Gonzaga Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Home | Yale | -11.0 | W by 15 | +4.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Eastern Oregon | -- | W by 66 | -- |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Purdue | +5.5 | L by 10 | -4.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Syracuse | -12.5 | W by 19 | +6.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | UCLA | -4.5 | W by 4 | -0.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | CS Bakersfld | -27.5 | W by 16 | -11.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | USC | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | -33.0 | W by 40 | +7.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | Washington | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 12/11 | Home | Miss Val St | -41.5 | W by 38 | -3.5 |
| 12/15 | Neutral | Connecticut | +3.5 | L by 13 | -9.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Jackson St | -26.5 | W by 24 | -2.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | San Diego St | -6.5 | L by 10 | -16.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Pepperdine | -21.0 | W by 26 | +5.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | San Diego | -24.0 | W by 27 | +3.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Santa Clara | -8.0 | L by 1 | -9.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Pepperdine | -12.5 | W by 25 | +12.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | San Diego | -18.0 | W by 42 | +24.0 |
| 01/25 | Home | San Francisco | -8.5 | W by 5 | -3.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Pacific | -24.5 | W by 9 | -15.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Loyola Mymt | -14.5 | W by 34 | +19.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | St Marys | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Portland | -28.5 | W by 32 | +3.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Kentucky | +4.5 | W by 4 | +8.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Loyola Mymt | -15.5 | W by 17 | +1.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Pacific | -31.0 | W by 26 | -5.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | Portland | -22.0 | W by 21 | -1.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Santa Clara | -15.5 | W by 13 | -2.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | San Francisco | -4.0 | W by 18 | +14.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | St Marys | +3.5 | W by 13 | +16.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | San Francisco | -9.5 | W by 12 | +2.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | St Marys | -3.5 | L by 9 | -12.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | McNeese St | -6.5 | W by 21 | +14.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Kansas | -3.5 | W by 21 | +17.5 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Purdue | +4.5 | L by 12 | -7.5 |
Purdue Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Samford | -19.5 | W by 53 | +33.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Morehead St | -29.5 | W by 30 | +0.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Xavier | -17.0 | W by 12 | -5.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Gonzaga | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Tennessee | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Marquette | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | TX Southern | -32.0 | W by 32 | 0.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | Northwestern | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Iowa | -13.5 | W by 19 | +5.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Alabama | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Arizona | +2.0 | W by 8 | +10.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Jacksonville | -32.5 | W by 43 | +10.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | E Kentucky | -29.0 | W by 27 | -2.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Maryland | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 01/05 | Home | Illinois | -10.5 | W by 5 | -5.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Nebraska | -7.5 | L by 16 | -23.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Penn St | -18.0 | W by 17 | -1.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Indiana | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Iowa | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Michigan | -18.0 | W by 32 | +14.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | Rutgers | -10.0 | W by 8 | -2.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Northwestern | -14.0 | W by 9 | -5.0 |
| 02/04 | Away | Wisconsin | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Indiana | -17.0 | W by 20 | +3.0 |
| 02/15 | Home | Minnesota | -16.5 | W by 8 | -8.5 |
| 02/18 | Away | Ohio St | -8.0 | L by 4 | -12.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Rutgers | -14.5 | W by 28 | +13.5 |
| 02/25 | Away | Michigan | -13.5 | W by 8 | -5.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Michigan St | -10.0 | W by 6 | -4.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Illinois | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Wisconsin | -10.0 | W by 8 | -2.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Michigan St | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -6.0 | L by 1 | -7.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Grambling St | -27.0 | W by 28 | +1.0 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Utah St | -11.5 | W by 39 | +27.5 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Gonzaga | -4.5 | W by 12 | +7.5 |
| 03/31 | Neutral | Tennessee | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | NC State | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 04/08 | Neutral | Connecticut | +7.0 | L by 15 | -8.0 |
| PUR -4.5 | Open | -4.0 | High | -5.5 |
| Last | -5.0 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1009 neutral site games where the closing line favored one team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Purdue won the game 666 times (66.0%).
- The team like Gonzaga won the game 343 times (34.0%).
- The team like Purdue did better against the spread, going 507-488-14 (51.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 5239 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Gonzaga did better against the spread, going 2577-2559-103 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -4.5 | -- |
| Open | -4.5 | -4.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/29 07:38 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 07:10 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 06:56 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/29 06:46 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 06:43 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/29 06:20 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 05:34 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 05:32 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/29 05:22 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 05:19 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 03/29 05:00 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/29 04:52 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 04:35 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 02:34 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 01:38 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/29 01:29 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 12:14 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 11:43 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 03/29 11:34 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 11:20 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 03/29 11:19 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 10:26 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 09:34 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 03/29 08:52 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 08:01 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 04:55 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 02:10 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 03/28 11:22 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 10:25 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 03/28 05:58 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 03/28 02:37 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 07:30 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 03/27 10:46 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/26 04:00 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/26 10:35 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/26 07:42 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 03/25 06:11 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 11:38 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 09:37 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 09:36 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 03/25 04:22 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 01:10 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 12:19 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/24 10:31 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/24 08:53 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/24 07:40 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/24 07:16 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/24 06:15 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/24 05:17 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
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