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LA Tech at Miss State
Thu Dec 5, 2019
8:00pm ET
Starkville, MS
LA Tech at Miss State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Mississippi State by 7.5, Total Points: 140
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | LT | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-12-0 | 17-17-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-7-0 | 9-11-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 7-6-0 | 6-8-1 | |
| Away | 10-6-0 | 11-9-0 |
LA Tech Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Colorado St | +9.5 | L by 8 | +1.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Lyon | -- | W by 57 | -- |
| 11/16 | Away | UL Monroe | -9.5 | W by 10 | +0.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | S Utah | -13.0 | W by 14 | +1.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | McNeese St | -6.5 | W by 9 | +2.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Dillard | -- | W by 40 | -- |
| 11/29 | Away | New Mexico | +7.5 | L by 9 | -1.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Nicholls | -13.5 | W by 13 | -0.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Ste F Austin | +4.0 | W by 7 | +11.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Louisiana | -6.5 | W by 5 | -1.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | SE Louisiana | -13.5 | W by 29 | +15.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | Saint Louis | -3.5 | L by 1 | -4.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Seattle | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | Grd Canyon | +7.0 | L by 3 | +4.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Dallas Christian | -- | W by 41 | -- |
| 01/06 | Away | Sam Hous St | -6.5 | L by 4 | -10.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | Middle Tenn | -6.5 | W by 8 | +1.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Liberty | -2.5 | W by 4 | +1.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Jksnville St | -3.5 | W by 17 | +13.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | TX El Paso | -10.5 | W by 14 | +3.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | N Mex State | -11.0 | W by 20 | +9.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | Florida Intl | -7.0 | W by 40 | +33.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | W Kentucky | -10.0 | L by 5 | -15.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Liberty | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | Jksnville St | -11.0 | W by 5 | -6.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Florida Intl | -13.0 | W by 7 | -6.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | TX El Paso | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | N Mex State | -8.5 | W by 9 | +0.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | W Kentucky | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 03/07 | Home | Sam Hous St | -9.0 | L by 6 | -15.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Middle Tenn | -13.0 | W by 14 | +1.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Middle Tenn | -9.0 | L by 3 | -12.0 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Neutral | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | TN Martin | -21.5 | W by 24 | +2.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | N Alabama | -18.0 | W by 27 | +9.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Wash State | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Northwestern | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Nicholls | -23.0 | W by 13 | -10.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | GA Tech | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Southern | -26.0 | L by 1 | -27.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Tulane | -6.5 | W by 30 | +23.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Murray St | -16.0 | W by 4 | -12.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | North Texas | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Rutgers | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Beth-Cook | -30.5 | W by 23 | -7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Tennessee | +2.0 | W by 5 | +7.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Alabama | -1.0 | L by 8 | -9.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Kentucky | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 13 | 0.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Florida | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Auburn | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Mississippi | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Alabama | +8.5 | L by 32 | -23.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Georgia | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Missouri | -7.5 | W by 24 | +16.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Arkansas | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Mississippi | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | LSU | -3.5 | W by 20 | +16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Kentucky | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Auburn | +10.5 | L by 15 | -4.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Texas A&M | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | S Carolina | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | LSU | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Tennessee | +9.5 | W by 17 | +26.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Auburn | +8.0 | L by 7 | +1.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Michigan St | +1.5 | L by 18 | -16.5 |
| MSST -7.5 | Open | -8.0 | High | -8.5 |
| Last | -8.5 | Low | -7.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2427 games where the closing line favored the home team by 6.5 to 8.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 1850 times (76.2%).
- The team like Louisiana Tech won the game 577 times (23.8%).
- The team like Louisiana Tech did better against the spread, going 1198-1187-42 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3865 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Louisiana Tech did better against the spread, going 1902-1887-76 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.5 | -8.5 | -7.5 |
| Open | -8.5 | -8.5 | -8.5 |
| History | |||
| 12/05 07:59 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 07:25 PM | -- | -- | -7.5 |
| 12/05 07:15 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 04:58 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 03:44 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 11:51 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 11:19 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 11:15 AM | -- | -- | -7.5 |
| 12/05 09:01 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 08:46 AM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 12/05 08:17 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 12:35 AM | -- | -- | -8.5 |
| 12/04 10:46 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 06:59 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
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