NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LT MSST
Points 65.7 70.6
Total Points   136.3
Points From 2-Pointers 33.0 34.5
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 22.1
Points From Free Throws 14.3 14.1
Shooting LT MSST
Field Goals Made 22.6 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 55.1 56.7
Field Goal % 41.1% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.6% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 14.3 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 21.5
Free Throw % 70.3% 65.5%
Ball Control LT MSST
Rebounds 35.5 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 11.2
Turnovers 12.2 10.9
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.3
Steals 6.3 7.8
Fouls 14.8 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: LA Tech

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LT MSST
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.0 69.9
% of Possessions with LT MSST
2 Point Attempt 42.5% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 26.0%
Player Fouled 21.7% 21.2%
Turnover 17.6% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 11.2% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LT MSST
Shot Blocked 6.0% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 29.7% 31.0%