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Samford at UCF
Sun Dec 4, 2022
2:00pm ET
Orlando, FL
Samford at UCF: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Central Florida by 7, Total Points: 139
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | SAM | adv | UCF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-14-0 | 19-14-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-9-0 | 13-7-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 9-7-0 | 12-7-0 | |
| Away | 10-7-0 | 7-7-0 |
Samford Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Purdue | +19.5 | L by 53 | -33.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | VCU | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Mississippi College | -- | W by 44 | -- |
| 11/17 | Home | S Car State | -21.0 | W by 17 | -4.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Alabama St | -14.5 | W by 32 | +17.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Merrimack | -10.5 | W by 8 | -2.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | NC A&T | -21.0 | W by 18 | -3.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Louisiana | -3.5 | W by 23 | +19.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | La Grange | -- | W by 46 | -- |
| 12/11 | Home | Alab A&M | -18.0 | W by 27 | +9.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Belmont | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Valparaiso | -8.5 | W by 18 | +9.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | TX Southern | -6.0 | W by 22 | +16.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Chattanooga | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Citadel | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | VMI | -24.0 | W by 38 | +14.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | W Carolina | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Mercer | -13.0 | W by 7 | -6.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Furman | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | E Tenn St | -6.0 | W by 3 | -3.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Wofford | -11.5 | W by 2 | -9.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Chattanooga | +1.5 | W by 22 | +23.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | NC-Grnsboro | +1.0 | W by 9 | +10.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | VMI | -19.5 | W by 39 | +19.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | W Carolina | -6.5 | W by 26 | +19.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Mercer | -10.0 | L by 4 | -14.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Furman | -7.5 | W by 2 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | E Tenn St | -11.0 | W by 16 | +5.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Wofford | -5.5 | L by 22 | -27.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Citadel | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Mercer | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Furman | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | E Tenn St | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Kansas | +7.5 | L by 4 | +3.5 |
UCF Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Florida Intl | -10.0 | W by 23 | +13.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | Miami | +9.5 | L by 16 | -6.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | CS Fullerton | -9.5 | W by 28 | +18.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | S Dakota St | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Charlotte | -5.0 | W by 3 | -2.0 |
| 11/26 | Home | Stetson | -12.5 | L by 3 | -15.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Lipscomb | -10.5 | W by 15 | +4.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Jacksonville | -14.5 | W by 42 | +27.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Mississippi | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Maine | -14.0 | W by 23 | +9.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Florida A&M | -24.5 | W by 13 | -11.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Beth-Cook | -23.0 | W by 44 | +21.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Kansas St | +5.0 | L by 25 | -20.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Kansas | +7.0 | W by 5 | +12.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | BYU | +5.5 | L by 5 | +0.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Texas | +8.5 | W by 6 | +14.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Houston | +17.5 | L by 15 | +2.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | W Virginia | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Cincinnati | +7.5 | L by 11 | -3.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Baylor | +3.5 | L by 8 | -4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Oklahoma | +1.5 | W by 11 | +12.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Texas Tech | +7.5 | L by 7 | +0.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | BYU | +12.5 | L by 2 | +10.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Cincinnati | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | W Virginia | -2.5 | L by 10 | -12.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Texas Tech | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Oklahoma St | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Iowa St | +3.5 | L by 8 | -4.5 |
| 03/06 | Home | Houston | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | TX Christian | +8.0 | W by 2 | +10.0 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Oklahoma St | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | BYU | +6.0 | L by 14 | -8.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | S Florida | -5.5 | L by 6 | -11.5 |
| UCF -7.0 | Open | -5.5 | High | -7.5 |
| Last | -6.5 | Low | -5.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2771 games where the closing line favored the home team by 6 to 8 points. In these games:
- The team like Central Florida won the game 2057 times (74.2%).
- The team like Samford won the game 714 times (25.8%).
- The team like Central Florida did better against the spread, going 1360-1344-67 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1677 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Central Florida did better against the spread, going 854-794-29 (51.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.0 | -7.0 | -- |
| Open | -5.0 | -5.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/04 01:58 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 01:46 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 11:58 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 11:37 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 10:24 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/04 10:13 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 09:34 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 08:46 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 08:07 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 11:55 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 11:04 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 12/03 10:28 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 08:04 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 12/03 06:07 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
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