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Yale at Kentucky
Sat Dec 10, 2022
1:00pm ET
Lexington, KY
Yale at Kentucky: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Kentucky by 17, Total Points: 137.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | YALE | adv | UK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-13-2 | 18-15-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-5-0 | 10-9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 5-4-0 | 8-10-0 | |
| Away | 11-9-2 | 10-5-0 |
Yale Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Vassar College | -- | W by 49 | -- |
| 11/10 | Away | Gonzaga | +11.0 | L by 15 | -4.0 |
| 11/12 | Away | Loyola Mymt | +1.0 | W by 3 | +4.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Colgate | -3.5 | W by 18 | +14.5 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Weber St | -5.5 | L by 10 | -15.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Gard-Webb | -8.0 | W by 1 | -7.0 |
| 11/26 | Away | Rhode Island | -6.0 | L by 4 | -10.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Stony Brook | -13.5 | W by 8 | -5.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Vermont | +1.5 | L by 1 | +0.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Fairfield | -16.5 | L by 4 | -20.5 |
| 12/08 | Home | Colby-Sawyer | -- | W by 59 | -- |
| 12/11 | Away | Quinnipiac | -8.5 | W by 7 | -1.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | Kansas | +15.0 | L by 15 | 0.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | Santa Clara | +2.5 | W by 8 | +10.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Howard | -8.0 | W by 8 | 0.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | Brown | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Columbia | -13.5 | W by 19 | +5.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Dartmouth | -12.5 | W by 25 | +12.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Harvard | -6.0 | W by 13 | +7.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Princeton | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | U Penn | -13.5 | W by 16 | +2.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Cornell | -7.5 | W by 2 | -5.5 |
| 02/16 | Away | U Penn | -5.5 | W by 14 | +8.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Princeton | +4.0 | L by 11 | -7.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Cornell | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Columbia | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Dartmouth | -20.0 | W by 24 | +4.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Harvard | -11.5 | W by 20 | +8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Brown | -11.0 | L by 3 | -14.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Cornell | -2.5 | W by 12 | +9.5 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Brown | -8.0 | W by 1 | -7.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Auburn | +13.5 | W by 2 | +15.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | San Diego St | +5.5 | L by 28 | -22.5 |
Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Mex State | -15.0 | W by 40 | +25.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | TX A&M-Com | -29.0 | W by 20 | -9.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Kansas | +7.0 | L by 5 | +2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Stonehill | -37.5 | W by 34 | -3.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | St Josephs | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Marshall | -18.5 | W by 36 | +17.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Miami | -6.0 | W by 22 | +16.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | NC-Wilmgton | -18.0 | L by 7 | -25.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | U Penn | -13.5 | W by 15 | +1.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | N Carolina | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Louisville | -14.0 | W by 19 | +5.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Illinois St | -20.0 | W by 26 | +6.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Florida | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Missouri | -11.5 | W by 13 | +1.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Texas A&M | +3.0 | L by 5 | -2.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Miss State | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Georgia | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | S Carolina | -5.5 | L by 17 | -22.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Arkansas | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Florida | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Tennessee | -1.5 | L by 11 | -12.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Vanderbilt | -8.5 | W by 32 | +23.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Gonzaga | -4.5 | L by 4 | -8.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Mississippi | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Auburn | +8.5 | W by 11 | +19.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | LSU | -6.5 | L by 1 | -7.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Alabama | -2.5 | W by 22 | +19.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Miss State | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Arkansas | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Vanderbilt | -18.0 | W by 16 | -2.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Tennessee | +8.5 | W by 4 | +12.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Texas A&M | -5.5 | L by 10 | -15.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Oakland | -13.0 | L by 4 | -17.0 |
| UK -17.0 | Open | -17.0 | High | -17.0 |
| Last | -16.0 | Low | -15.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 810 games where the closing line favored the home team by 16 to 18 points. In these games:
- The team like Kentucky won the game 763 times (94.2%).
- The team like Yale won the game 47 times (5.8%).
- The team like Yale did better against the spread, going 421-370-19 (53.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3274 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Yale did better against the spread, going 1631-1589-54 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -17.0 | -17.0 | -- |
| Open | -15.5 | -15.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/10 01:04 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 12/10 12:55 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 12:24 PM | -- | -16.0 | -- |
| 12/10 12:16 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 11:24 AM | -- | -16.0 | -- |
| 12/10 10:24 AM | -- | -16.0 | -- |
| 12/10 10:04 AM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 10:04 AM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
| 12/10 09:24 AM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
| 12/10 09:22 AM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 08:46 AM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 02:44 AM | -- | -16.0 | -- |
| 12/09 07:44 PM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
| 12/09 05:19 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
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