ATS Situational Trends

Record BUFF adv WMU
Season 12-18-0 17-14-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 7-11-0 12-7-0
Streak L2 L1
Last 5 2-3-0 2-3-0
Last 10 6-4-0 5-5-0
Home 3-11-0 7-6-0
Away 9-7-0 10-8-0

Buffalo Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Home F Dickinson -6.0 L by 6 -12.0
11/11 Home S Alabama +1.0 L by 14 -13.0
11/15 Home Roberts Wesleyan -- W by 6 --
11/20 Neutral Hofstra +9.5 L by 34 -24.5
11/21 Neutral Louisiana +9.5 L by 8 +1.5
11/22 Neutral Iona +6.5 L by 25 -18.5
11/29 Away James Mad +23.5 L by 15 +8.5
12/02 Home St Bonavent +9.5 L by 15 -5.5
12/05 Away Butler +24.5 L by 13 +11.5
12/09 Home W Kentucky +7.0 L by 17 -10.0
12/21 Away Richmond +15.5 L by 6 +9.5
12/29 Home Niagara -3.5 L by 6 -9.5
01/02 Away Central Mich +2.0 W by 12 +14.0
01/06 Home W Michigan -3.0 L by 5 -8.0
01/09 Home Miami (OH) -2.0 L by 21 -23.0
01/12 Away Akron +16.0 L by 17 -1.0
01/16 Away Toledo +15.0 L by 11 +4.0
01/23 Home Ball St +1.5 L by 28 -26.5
01/27 Away E Michigan +3.5 L by 10 -6.5
01/30 Away Ohio +13.5 L by 21 -7.5
02/02 Home Kent St +8.0 L by 31 -23.0
02/06 Away Bowling Grn +12.5 L by 14 -1.5
02/10 Away GA Southern +9.0 W by 1 +10.0
02/13 Away N Illinois +9.0 L by 4 +5.0
02/17 Home Akron +13.5 L by 11 +2.5
02/20 Home E Michigan -3.5 W by 9 +5.5
02/24 Away W Michigan +6.0 L by 19 -13.0
02/27 Away Kent St +14.5 L by 12 +2.5
03/02 Home Toledo +10.5 L by 6 +4.5
03/05 Home Ohio +11.5 L by 12 -0.5
03/08 Home N Illinois +1.5 L by 10 -8.5

W Michigan Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Home N Dakota St +3.5 L by 4 -0.5
11/11 Home Georgia St +5.5 L by 7 -1.5
11/14 Away Northwestern +23.5 L by 4 +19.5
11/19 Away Ohio St +21.5 L by 17 +4.5
11/24 Neutral SE Louisiana +2.0 W by 1 +3.0
11/25 Neutral Mercer +1.0 W by 6 +7.0
12/01 Home St. Thomas -3.0 L by 14 -17.0
12/05 Away Notre Dame +9.5 L by 21 -11.5
12/09 Home Youngs St +5.0 L by 4 +1.0
12/16 Away IL-Chicago +11.5 L by 21 -9.5
12/21 Away Cleveland St +9.5 L by 13 -3.5
12/29 Home Aquinas -- W by 56 --
01/02 Away Miami (OH) +5.0 W by 9 +14.0
01/06 Away Buffalo +3.0 W by 5 +8.0
01/09 Home N Illinois -3.0 W by 5 +2.0
01/13 Home Ohio +4.0 W by 2 +6.0
01/16 Away Akron +14.0 L by 11 +3.0
01/20 Away Bowling Grn +9.0 L by 5 +4.0
01/23 Home E Michigan -4.5 W by 17 +12.5
01/27 Home Central Mich -3.0 L by 7 -10.0
01/30 Away Toledo +11.5 L by 25 -13.5
02/03 Home Ball St -1.0 L by 10 -11.0
02/06 Away Kent St +10.0 L by 2 +8.0
02/10 Away S Mississippi +7.5 L by 32 -24.5
02/17 Away Central Mich +5.5 L by 27 -21.5
02/20 Home Miami (OH) +3.5 W by 19 +22.5
02/24 Home Buffalo -6.0 W by 19 +13.0
02/27 Away E Michigan -2.5 L by 3 -5.5
03/02 Away Ball St +6.5 W by 2 +8.5
03/05 Home Bowling Grn -2.0 L by 8 -10.0
03/08 Home Akron +9.0 W by 6 +15.0
03/14 Neutral Ohio +9.0 L by 27 -18.0
BUFF -3.5 Open -4.5 High -4.5
Last -3.0 Low -3.0

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2255 games where the closing line favored the away team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Buffalo won the game 1334 times (59.2%).
  • The team like Western Michigan won the game 921 times (40.8%).
  • The team like Western Michigan did better against the spread, going 1141-1070-44 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3486 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Buffalo did better against the spread, going 1719-1695-72 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -4.0 -3.5 --
Open -3.0 -3.5 --
History
02/04 01:50 PM -4.0 -- --
02/04 10:44 AM -3.0 -- --
02/04 08:08 AM -3.0 -- --
02/04 04:13 AM -3.0 -- --
02/03 09:49 PM -3.0 -- --
02/03 07:29 PM -- -3.5 --
02/03 06:52 PM -3.0 -- --