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Buffalo at Central Mich
Sat Jan 18, 2020
2:00pm ET
Mount Pleasant, MI
Buffalo at Central Mich: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Central Michigan by 1, Total Points: 166
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BUFF | adv | CMU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-18-0 | 16-15-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-11-0 | 11-8-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 3-11-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| Away | 9-7-0 | 9-10-0 |
Buffalo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | F Dickinson | -6.0 | L by 6 | -12.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | S Alabama | +1.0 | L by 14 | -13.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Roberts Wesleyan | -- | W by 6 | -- |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Hofstra | +9.5 | L by 34 | -24.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Louisiana | +9.5 | L by 8 | +1.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Iona | +6.5 | L by 25 | -18.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | James Mad | +23.5 | L by 15 | +8.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | St Bonavent | +9.5 | L by 15 | -5.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Butler | +24.5 | L by 13 | +11.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | W Kentucky | +7.0 | L by 17 | -10.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Richmond | +15.5 | L by 6 | +9.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Niagara | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Central Mich | +2.0 | W by 12 | +14.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | W Michigan | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Miami (OH) | -2.0 | L by 21 | -23.0 |
| 01/12 | Away | Akron | +16.0 | L by 17 | -1.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Toledo | +15.0 | L by 11 | +4.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Ball St | +1.5 | L by 28 | -26.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | E Michigan | +3.5 | L by 10 | -6.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Ohio | +13.5 | L by 21 | -7.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | Kent St | +8.0 | L by 31 | -23.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Bowling Grn | +12.5 | L by 14 | -1.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | GA Southern | +9.0 | W by 1 | +10.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | N Illinois | +9.0 | L by 4 | +5.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Akron | +13.5 | L by 11 | +2.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | E Michigan | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | W Michigan | +6.0 | L by 19 | -13.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Kent St | +14.5 | L by 12 | +2.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Toledo | +10.5 | L by 6 | +4.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Ohio | +11.5 | L by 12 | -0.5 |
| 03/08 | Home | N Illinois | +1.5 | L by 10 | -8.5 |
Central Mich Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Oklahoma | +21.5 | L by 30 | -8.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | UL Monroe | -2.5 | L by 10 | -12.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | Florida St | +20.5 | L by 27 | -6.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | S Florida | +17.0 | W by 5 | +22.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Siena | -5.0 | W by 14 | +9.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Stetson | +4.0 | L by 10 | -6.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Ohio St | +24.0 | L by 27 | -3.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Valparaiso | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Creighton | +31.0 | L by 45 | -14.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Davenport | -- | W by 24 | -- |
| 12/21 | Home | Detroit | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Loyola-Chi | +14.5 | L by 38 | -23.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Buffalo | -2.0 | L by 12 | -14.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Ball St | +6.0 | W by 6 | +12.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | E Michigan | +4.5 | W by 16 | +20.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Kent St | +7.0 | W by 15 | +22.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Ohio | +10.5 | L by 12 | -1.5 |
| 01/19 | Home | Toledo | +7.5 | W by 3 | +10.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Miami (OH) | -1.5 | W by 16 | +14.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | W Michigan | +3.0 | W by 7 | +10.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | N Illinois | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Bowling Grn | +9.0 | W by 1 | +10.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Akron | +13.5 | L by 21 | -7.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Old Dominion | +3.5 | W by 1 | +4.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | W Michigan | -5.5 | W by 27 | +21.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Bowling Grn | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Miami (OH) | +3.0 | L by 28 | -25.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | Ball St | -4.0 | L by 8 | -12.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Kent St | +10.0 | L by 6 | +4.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | N Illinois | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | E Michigan | -8.5 | W by 3 | -5.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Bowling Grn | +4.0 | L by 10 | -6.0 |
| CMU -1.0 | Open | -1.0 | High | -1.0 |
| Last | -- | Low | -1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1674 games where the closing line favored the home team by 0 to 2 points. In these games:
- The team like Central Michigan won the game 916 times (54.7%).
- The team like Buffalo won the game 758 times (45.3%).
- The team like Central Michigan did better against the spread, going 828-810-36 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3059 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Buffalo did better against the spread, going 1539-1462-58 (51.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -1.0 | -- | -1.0 |
| Open | -1.0 | -- | -1.0 |
| History | |||
| 01/17 10:55 PM | -- | -- | -1.0 |
| 01/17 09:20 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
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