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S Florida at Connecticut
Sun Feb 23, 2020
2:00pm ET
Storrs, CT
S Florida at Connecticut: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Connecticut by 7.5, Total Points: 121.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | USF | adv | CONN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-9-3 | 28-12-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-3-3 | 15-8-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W7 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 5-0-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 9-1-0 | |
| Home | 13-4-1 | 9-7-0 | |
| Away | 8-5-2 | 19-5-0 |
S Florida Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Home | S Car State | -20.0 | W by 44 | +24.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Central Mich | -17.0 | L by 5 | -22.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | N Iowa | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Maine | -8.5 | L by 11 | -19.5 |
| 11/30 | Away | Hofstra | +5.5 | L by 19 | -13.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | U Mass | +7.5 | L by 10 | -2.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Florida St | +7.5 | W by 16 | +23.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | -17.0 | W by 18 | +1.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Loyola-Chi | +1.0 | W by 13 | +14.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Albany | -10.5 | W by 16 | +5.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Alabama St | -15.5 | W by 3 | -12.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Temple | -5.5 | W by 8 | +2.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | UAB | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | Rice | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | Memphis | +10.0 | W by 1 | +11.0 |
| 01/21 | Home | Wichita St | -4.0 | W by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Temple | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | UTSA | -9.5 | W by 17 | +7.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | E Carolina | +1.0 | W by 11 | +12.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | North Texas | +6.5 | W by 5 | +11.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Charlotte | -2.0 | W by 3 | +1.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Rice | -4.0 | W by 4 | 0.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Tulsa | -8.0 | W by 19 | +11.0 |
| 02/18 | Home | Fla Atlantic | +6.0 | W by 4 | +10.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | UTSA | -6.0 | W by 5 | -1.0 |
| 02/25 | Home | S Methodist | +2.5 | W by 11 | +13.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Charlotte | +4.0 | W by 15 | +19.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Tulane | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Tulsa | -5.5 | L by 6 | -11.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | E Carolina | -7.5 | W by 22 | +14.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | UAB | -2.0 | L by 10 | -12.0 |
| 03/19 | Away | UCF | +5.5 | W by 6 | +11.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | VCU | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
Connecticut Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Arizona | -26.5 | W by 43 | +16.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Stonehill | -38.0 | W by 40 | +2.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Miss Val St | -45.5 | W by 34 | -11.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Indiana | -11.0 | W by 20 | +9.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Texas | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Manhattan | -35.0 | W by 30 | -5.0 |
| 11/27 | Home | N Hampshire | -31.5 | W by 20 | -11.5 |
| 12/01 | Away | Kansas | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | N Carolina | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | -37.0 | W by 38 | +1.0 |
| 12/15 | Neutral | Gonzaga | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Seton Hall | -8.0 | L by 15 | -23.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | St Johns | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | DePaul | -23.0 | W by 29 | +6.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Butler | -5.0 | W by 7 | +2.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Xavier | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Georgetown | -21.0 | W by 13 | -8.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Creighton | -6.0 | W by 14 | +8.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Villanova | -4.0 | W by 1 | -3.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Xavier | -11.5 | W by 43 | +31.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Providence | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | St Johns | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Butler | -14.0 | W by 9 | -5.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Georgetown | -16.0 | W by 25 | +9.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | DePaul | -24.5 | W by 36 | +11.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Marquette | -7.0 | W by 28 | +21.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Creighton | -2.5 | L by 19 | -21.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Villanova | -11.5 | W by 24 | +12.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Seton Hall | -15.5 | W by 30 | +14.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Marquette | -5.0 | W by 7 | +2.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Providence | -9.0 | W by 14 | +5.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Xavier | -15.0 | W by 27 | +12.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | St Johns | -9.0 | W by 5 | -4.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Marquette | -9.5 | W by 16 | +6.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Stetson | -27.5 | W by 39 | +11.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Northwestern | -13.5 | W by 17 | +3.5 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | San Diego St | -12.0 | W by 30 | +18.0 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Illinois | -8.0 | W by 25 | +17.0 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | Alabama | -10.0 | W by 14 | +4.0 |
| 04/08 | Neutral | Purdue | -7.0 | W by 15 | +8.0 |
| CONN -7.5 | Open | -7.5 | High | -7.5 |
| Last | -- | Low | -7.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2845 games where the closing line favored the home team by 6.5 to 8.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Connecticut won the game 2171 times (76.3%).
- The team like South Florida won the game 674 times (23.7%).
- The team like South Florida did better against the spread, going 1407-1391-47 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3585 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Connecticut did better against the spread, going 1766-1751-68 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.5 | -7.5 | -7.5 |
| Open | -7.5 | -7.5 | -7.5 |
| History | |||
| 02/23 12:28 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 11:47 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 10:56 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 08:23 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 08:06 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 02:46 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 10:05 PM | -- | -- | -7.5 |
| 02/22 06:10 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 06:05 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
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