NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USF CONN
Points 59.7 80.8
Total Points   140.4
Points From 2-Pointers 26.6 39.9
Points From 3-Pointers 18.6 24.9
Points From Free Throws 14.4 15.9
Shooting USF CONN
Field Goals Made 19.5 28.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 58.2
Field Goal % 34.7% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made 13.3 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 36.1 34.2
2 Point Shooting % 36.8% 58.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 24.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.9% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 14.4 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 21.2
Free Throw % 72.6% 75.1%
Ball Control USF CONN
Rebounds 28.7 43.4
Rebounds - Defensive 20.7 31.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 12.2
Turnovers 8.8 8.9
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.8
Steals 5.0 4.9
Fouls 15.1 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: S Florida

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USF CONN
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 67.4 71.5
% of Possessions with USF CONN
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 42.0%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 29.5%
Player Fouled 23.1% 22.2%
Turnover 13.0% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken USF CONN
Shot Blocked 8.4% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 20.6% 37.2%