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S Florida at S Methodist
Sun Jan 29, 2023
4:00pm ET
Dallas, TX
S Florida at S Methodist: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Southern Methodist by 3, Total Points: 146
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | USF | adv | SMU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-9-3 | 14-17-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-3-3 | 7-11-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L7 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 0-5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 13-4-1 | 6-9-1 | |
| Away | 8-5-2 | 8-8-0 |
S Florida Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Home | S Car State | -20.0 | W by 44 | +24.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Central Mich | -17.0 | L by 5 | -22.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | N Iowa | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Maine | -8.5 | L by 11 | -19.5 |
| 11/30 | Away | Hofstra | +5.5 | L by 19 | -13.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | U Mass | +7.5 | L by 10 | -2.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Florida St | +7.5 | W by 16 | +23.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | -17.0 | W by 18 | +1.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Loyola-Chi | +1.0 | W by 13 | +14.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Albany | -10.5 | W by 16 | +5.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Alabama St | -15.5 | W by 3 | -12.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Temple | -5.5 | W by 8 | +2.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | UAB | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | Rice | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | Memphis | +10.0 | W by 1 | +11.0 |
| 01/21 | Home | Wichita St | -4.0 | W by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Temple | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | UTSA | -9.5 | W by 17 | +7.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | E Carolina | +1.0 | W by 11 | +12.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | North Texas | +6.5 | W by 5 | +11.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Charlotte | -2.0 | W by 3 | +1.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Rice | -4.0 | W by 4 | 0.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Tulsa | -8.0 | W by 19 | +11.0 |
| 02/18 | Home | Fla Atlantic | +6.0 | W by 4 | +10.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | UTSA | -6.0 | W by 5 | -1.0 |
| 02/25 | Home | S Methodist | +2.5 | W by 11 | +13.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Charlotte | +4.0 | W by 15 | +19.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Tulane | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Tulsa | -5.5 | L by 6 | -11.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | E Carolina | -7.5 | W by 22 | +14.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | UAB | -2.0 | L by 10 | -12.0 |
| 03/19 | Away | UCF | +5.5 | W by 6 | +11.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | VCU | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
S Methodist Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Southwestern Assemblies of God | -- | W by 19 | -- |
| 11/08 | Home | W Illinois | -17.5 | W by 37 | +19.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | Lamar | -19.5 | W by 11 | -8.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Texas A&M | +5.5 | L by 13 | -7.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | W Virginia | -4.0 | W by 12 | +8.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Wisconsin | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | UL Monroe | -16.5 | W by 13 | -3.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Dayton | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | TX A&M-Com | -16.5 | W by 43 | +26.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Arizona St | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | Florida St | +4.5 | W by 11 | +15.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | Hsn Christian | -27.0 | W by 36 | +9.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | Murray St | -5.5 | W by 27 | +21.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Charlotte | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Memphis | +7.0 | L by 3 | +4.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | E Carolina | -4.0 | W by 11 | +7.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Temple | -13.0 | W by 13 | 0.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Tulsa | -13.0 | W by 33 | +20.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | North Texas | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | Wichita St | -6.0 | L by 5 | -11.0 |
| 02/01 | Home | Tulane | -8.5 | W by 4 | -4.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | UAB | -7.0 | W by 3 | -4.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Rice | -6.5 | W by 26 | +19.5 |
| 02/11 | Home | North Texas | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Tulane | -1.5 | W by 8 | +6.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | Memphis | -5.5 | W by 27 | +21.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Fla Atlantic | +6.5 | L by 10 | -3.5 |
| 02/25 | Away | S Florida | -2.5 | L by 11 | -13.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | UTSA | -17.0 | L by 4 | -21.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | E Carolina | -12.0 | W by 3 | -9.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | UAB | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Temple | -12.0 | L by 15 | -27.0 |
| 03/20 | Away | Indiana St | +7.5 | L by 9 | -1.5 |
| SMU -3.0 | Open | -1.0 | High | -3.0 |
| Last | -2.5 | Low | -1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3539 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2 to 4 points. In these games:
- The team like Southern Methodist won the game 2127 times (60.1%).
- The team like South Florida won the game 1412 times (39.9%).
- The team like Southern Methodist did better against the spread, going 1751-1706-82 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1096 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like South Florida did better against the spread, going 537-533-26 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -2.0 | -- |
| Open | -2.5 | -2.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 01/29 03:52 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/29 02:19 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 01/29 02:07 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/29 11:02 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/29 10:26 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/29 09:19 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/29 08:04 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/29 02:13 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 11:35 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
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