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Buffalo at Toledo
Tue Jan 25, 2022
7:00pm ET
Toledo, OH
Buffalo at Toledo: Over/Under Analysis
Odds: Toledo by 4.5, Total Points: 157
Over/Under Situational Trends
| Record | BUFF | TOL |
|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-17-1 | 17-15-0 |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| vs Conference | 7-10-1 | 9-10-0 |
| Streak | Un 2 | Un 1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-4-0 |
| Home | 6-7-1 | 8-7-0 |
| Away | 6-10-0 | 9-8-0 |
Records denote overs-unders-pushes
Buffalo Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | F Dickinson | 143.5 | 86-92 | Over | +34.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | S Alabama | 143.0 | 56-70 | Under | -17.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Roberts Wesleyan | -- | 89-83 | Under | -- |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Hofstra | 144.5 | 68-102 | Over | +25.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Louisiana | 152.5 | 60-68 | Under | -24.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Iona | 145.0 | 64-89 | Over | +8.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | James Mad | 158.5 | 66-81 | Under | -11.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | St Bonavent | 136.5 | 65-80 | Over | +8.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Butler | 149.0 | 59-72 | Under | -18.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | W Kentucky | 149.5 | 65-82 | Under | -2.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | Richmond | 141.5 | 66-72 | Under | -3.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Niagara | 144.5 | 63-69 | Under | -12.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Central Mich | 143.0 | 76-64 | Under | -3.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | W Michigan | 148.5 | 77-82 | Over | +10.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Miami (OH) | 144.5 | 65-86 | Over | +6.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Akron | 142.5 | 59-76 | Under | -7.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Toledo | 154.0 | 66-77 | Under | -11.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Ball St | 146.0 | 59-87 | Push | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | E Michigan | 144.5 | 65-75 | Under | -4.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Ohio | 149.5 | 70-91 | Over | +11.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | Kent St | 147.0 | 52-83 | Under | -12.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Bowling Grn | 150.0 | 73-87 | Over | +10.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | GA Southern | 150.5 | 82-81 | Over | +12.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | N Illinois | 149.0 | 68-72 | Under | -9.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Akron | 141.0 | 62-73 | Under | -6.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | E Michigan | 145.0 | 78-69 | Over | +2.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | W Michigan | 150.5 | 72-91 | Over | +12.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Kent St | 146.0 | 64-76 | Under | -6.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Toledo | 156.5 | 79-85 | Over | +7.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Ohio | 151.5 | 66-78 | Under | -7.5 |
| 03/08 | Home | N Illinois | 148.5 | 68-78 | Under | -2.5 |
Toledo Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Detroit | 153.5 | 94-60 | Over | +0.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Louisiana | 156.5 | 87-78 | Over | +8.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Wright St | 169.0 | 78-77 | Under | -14.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | New Mexico | 159.5 | 84-92 | Over | +16.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | UC Irvine | 150.5 | 71-77 | Under | -2.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Indiana St | 165.5 | 74-76 | Under | -15.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Geo Mason | 145.5 | 77-86 | Over | +17.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Oakland | 149.0 | 69-68 | Under | -12.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | N Iowa | 151.5 | 84-80 | Over | +12.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Marshall | 163.5 | 88-87 | Over | +11.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Vermont | 147.5 | 60-86 | Under | -1.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | W Virginia | 153.5 | 81-91 | Over | +18.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Ohio | 160.0 | 86-77 | Over | +3.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Miami (OH) | 158.5 | 68-64 | Under | -26.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Kent St | 152.5 | 89-75 | Over | +11.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Ball St | 150.5 | 77-72 | Under | -1.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Buffalo | 154.0 | 77-66 | Under | -11.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | Central Mich | 147.0 | 62-65 | Under | -20.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | N Illinois | 159.0 | 89-73 | Over | +3.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Bowling Grn | 156.5 | 88-72 | Over | +3.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | W Michigan | 156.5 | 88-63 | Under | -5.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Akron | 148.0 | 70-77 | Under | -1.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | E Michigan | 149.5 | 91-87 | Over | +28.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | App State | 150.0 | 104-109 | Over | +63.0 |
| 02/16 | Home | Ohio | 160.5 | 85-83 | Over | +7.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Akron | 150.0 | 72-64 | Under | -14.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Bowling Grn | 158.5 | 68-76 | Under | -14.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | N Illinois | 151.5 | 72-75 | Under | -4.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Buffalo | 156.5 | 85-79 | Over | +7.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Miami (OH) | 151.5 | 97-63 | Over | +8.5 |
| 03/08 | Home | Kent St | 153.0 | 86-71 | Over | +4.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Kent St | 150.5 | 59-67 | Under | -24.5 |
| Total 157.0 | Open | 158.5 | High | 158.5 |
| Last | 158.0 | Low | 157.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 743 games with over/under lines between 156 and 158. In these games:
- Games have gone over the line 335 times (45.1%).
- Games have gone under the line 395 times (53.2%).
- Games have pushed the line 13 times (1.7%).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 901 games where the closing over/under line moved 1.5 points lower than the opening over/under line.
In these games, the under performed better, going 491-398-12 (55.2%). Game totals went under the line by an average of 0.4 points.
Totals History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 156.5 | 157.0 | 157.0 |
| Open | 158.5 | 158.5 | 158.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/25 06:49 PM | 156.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 06:38 PM | 156.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 06:02 PM | 156.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 03:28 PM | 157.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 12:44 PM | -- | 157.0 | -- |
| 01/25 11:34 AM | -- | 157.5 | -- |
| 01/25 11:25 AM | -- | -- | 157.0 |
| 01/25 11:24 AM | -- | 158.0 | -- |
| 01/25 11:19 AM | 157.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 10:44 AM | -- | 158.5 | -- |
| 01/25 08:54 AM | -- | 158.0 | -- |
| 01/25 07:54 AM | -- | 158.5 | -- |
| 01/25 06:34 AM | -- | 158.5 | -- |
| 01/25 05:49 AM | 158.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 02:15 AM | -- | -- | 158.0 |
| 01/25 12:54 AM | -- | 158.5 | -- |
| 01/25 12:13 AM | 158.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 10:05 PM | -- | -- | 158.5 |
| 01/24 09:44 PM | -- | 158.5 | -- |
| 01/24 09:34 PM | -- | 158.5 | -- |
| 01/24 08:54 PM | -- | 158.5 | -- |
| 01/24 07:54 PM | -- | 158.5 | -- |
| 01/24 07:24 PM | -- | 158.0 | -- |
| 01/24 04:54 PM | -- | 158.5 | -- |
| 01/24 04:37 PM | 158.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 04:34 PM | -- | 158.5 | -- |
| 01/24 04:16 PM | 158.5 | -- | -- |
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