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Ball St at Buffalo
Tue Feb 18, 2020
7:00pm ET
Buffalo, NY
Ball St at Buffalo: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Buffalo by 4, Total Points: 146
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BALL | adv | BUFF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-13-0 | 12-18-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-9-0 | 7-11-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 8-6-0 | 3-11-0 | |
| Away | 8-7-0 | 9-7-0 |
Ball St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | Goshen | -- | W by 61 | -- |
| 11/11 | Home | Old Dominion | +3.5 | W by 5 | +8.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Oakland City | -- | W by 41 | -- |
| 11/18 | Away | Evansville | -1.0 | L by 24 | -25.0 |
| 11/21 | Home | SC Upstate | -3.5 | W by 17 | +13.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | -10.0 | W by 18 | +8.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | AR Lit Rock | +2.0 | L by 26 | -24.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Bellarmine | -1.5 | W by 9 | +7.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Detroit | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | SIU Edward | -2.0 | W by 12 | +10.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Indiana St | +15.5 | L by 11 | +4.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | Minnesota | +12.5 | L by 17 | -4.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Kent St | +11.0 | L by 13 | -2.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Central Mich | -6.0 | L by 6 | -12.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Akron | +7.0 | L by 4 | +3.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Toledo | +11.0 | L by 5 | +6.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | E Michigan | -1.0 | W by 14 | +13.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Miami (OH) | -4.0 | L by 7 | -11.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Buffalo | -1.5 | W by 28 | +26.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | N Illinois | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Bowling Grn | -2.5 | L by 9 | -11.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | W Michigan | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Ohio | +2.0 | L by 5 | -3.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Texas St | +3.0 | L by 8 | -5.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Miami (OH) | +2.5 | L by 21 | -18.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | N Illinois | +1.0 | W by 7 | +8.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | E Michigan | -10.5 | L by 2 | -12.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Central Mich | +4.0 | W by 8 | +12.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | W Michigan | -6.5 | L by 2 | -8.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Kent St | +3.0 | W by 7 | +10.0 |
| 03/08 | Away | Bowling Grn | +5.5 | L by 10 | -4.5 |
Buffalo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | F Dickinson | -6.0 | L by 6 | -12.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | S Alabama | +1.0 | L by 14 | -13.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Roberts Wesleyan | -- | W by 6 | -- |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Hofstra | +9.5 | L by 34 | -24.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Louisiana | +9.5 | L by 8 | +1.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Iona | +6.5 | L by 25 | -18.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | James Mad | +23.5 | L by 15 | +8.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | St Bonavent | +9.5 | L by 15 | -5.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Butler | +24.5 | L by 13 | +11.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | W Kentucky | +7.0 | L by 17 | -10.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Richmond | +15.5 | L by 6 | +9.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Niagara | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Central Mich | +2.0 | W by 12 | +14.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | W Michigan | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Miami (OH) | -2.0 | L by 21 | -23.0 |
| 01/12 | Away | Akron | +16.0 | L by 17 | -1.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Toledo | +15.0 | L by 11 | +4.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Ball St | +1.5 | L by 28 | -26.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | E Michigan | +3.5 | L by 10 | -6.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Ohio | +13.5 | L by 21 | -7.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | Kent St | +8.0 | L by 31 | -23.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Bowling Grn | +12.5 | L by 14 | -1.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | GA Southern | +9.0 | W by 1 | +10.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | N Illinois | +9.0 | L by 4 | +5.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Akron | +13.5 | L by 11 | +2.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | E Michigan | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | W Michigan | +6.0 | L by 19 | -13.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Kent St | +14.5 | L by 12 | +2.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Toledo | +10.5 | L by 6 | +4.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Ohio | +11.5 | L by 12 | -0.5 |
| 03/08 | Home | N Illinois | +1.5 | L by 10 | -8.5 |
| BUFF -4.0 | Open | -4.0 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3112 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Buffalo won the game 2000 times (64.3%).
- The team like Ball St. won the game 1112 times (35.7%).
- The team like Buffalo did better against the spread, going 1551-1481-80 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3373 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Ball St. did better against the spread, going 1701-1609-63 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -4.0 | -4.0 |
| Open | -4.5 | -4.5 | -4.5 |
| History | |||
| 02/18 06:37 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 06:20 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 06:04 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/18 05:05 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 02/18 05:03 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 04:27 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 03:00 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 02:13 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 01:31 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 12:54 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 11:39 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 10:01 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 09:11 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 08:55 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 02/18 08:48 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 08:09 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 07:25 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 02/18 07:00 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/17 11:25 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 02/17 11:05 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/17 07:54 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/17 07:44 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/17 06:24 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
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