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Louisville at Virginia
Mon Jan 24, 2022
7:00pm ET
Charlottesville, VA
Louisville at Virginia: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Virginia by 5, Total Points: 123
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | LOU | adv | UVA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-18-1 | 17-16-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-11-1 | 11-10-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 5-12-1 | 10-6-1 | |
| Away | 8-6-0 | 7-10-0 |
Louisville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Maryland BC | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Chattanooga | -4.0 | L by 10 | -14.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Coppin St | -17.5 | W by 20 | +2.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Texas | +17.5 | L by 1 | +16.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Indiana | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | N Mex State | -8.5 | W by 6 | -2.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Bellarmine | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 12/03 | Away | VA Tech | +14.0 | L by 7 | +7.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | DePaul | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Arkansas St | -3.5 | L by 12 | -15.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Pepperdine | -1.0 | W by 22 | +21.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Kentucky | +14.0 | L by 19 | -5.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Virginia | +15.5 | L by 24 | -8.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Pittsburgh | +8.5 | L by 13 | -4.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Miami | +16.5 | W by 9 | +25.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | NC State | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | N Carolina | +21.0 | L by 16 | +5.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Wake Forest | +16.0 | L by 25 | -9.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Duke | +14.0 | L by 14 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Virginia | +9.0 | L by 17 | -8.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Clemson | +16.0 | L by 6 | +10.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Florida St | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Syracuse | +8.5 | L by 2 | +6.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | GA Tech | -1.0 | W by 12 | +11.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Boston Col | +9.5 | L by 12 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Pittsburgh | +12.5 | L by 27 | -14.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | Notre Dame | -3.0 | L by 22 | -25.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Duke | +20.5 | L by 25 | -4.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Syracuse | +5.0 | L by 6 | -1.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | VA Tech | +7.5 | L by 16 | -8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Boston Col | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | NC State | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
Virginia Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Tarleton St | -17.0 | W by 30 | +13.0 |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Florida | +1.0 | W by 3 | +4.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | NC A&T | -30.5 | W by 29 | -1.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | TX Southern | -22.5 | W by 29 | +6.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -3.5 | L by 24 | -27.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | W Virginia | -9.5 | W by 2 | -7.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Texas A&M | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Syracuse | -10.5 | W by 22 | +11.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | NC Central | -24.5 | W by 30 | +5.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Northeastrn | -16.0 | W by 2 | -14.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | Memphis | +3.5 | L by 23 | -19.5 |
| 12/27 | Home | Morgan St | -26.5 | W by 35 | +8.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Notre Dame | -9.5 | L by 22 | -31.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Louisville | -15.5 | W by 24 | +8.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | NC State | +1.0 | L by 16 | -15.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Wake Forest | +6.0 | L by 19 | -13.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | VA Tech | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | GA Tech | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | NC State | -6.0 | W by 6 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Louisville | -9.0 | W by 17 | +8.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Notre Dame | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Clemson | +4.5 | W by 1 | +5.5 |
| 02/05 | Home | Miami | -5.5 | W by 22 | +16.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Florida St | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Pittsburgh | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Wake Forest | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 02/19 | Away | VA Tech | +3.5 | L by 34 | -30.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | N Carolina | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Boston Col | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Duke | +10.0 | L by 25 | -15.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | GA Tech | -9.5 | W by 15 | +5.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Boston Col | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | NC State | -2.5 | L by 8 | -10.5 |
| 03/19 | Neutral | Colorado St | +2.5 | L by 25 | -22.5 |
| UVA -5.0 | Open | -3.5 | High | -5.5 |
| Last | -5.5 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3116 games where the closing line favored the home team by 4 to 6 points. In these games:
- The team like Virginia won the game 2124 times (68.2%).
- The team like Louisville won the game 992 times (31.8%).
- The team like Virginia did better against the spread, going 1570-1472-74 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1839 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Virginia did better against the spread, going 960-850-29 (53.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.0 | -5.0 | -5.0 |
| Open | -3.5 | -3.5 | -5.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/24 06:58 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 06:28 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 05:43 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 05:37 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 05:07 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 04:34 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 03:49 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 03:19 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 02:28 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 01:49 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 01:22 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 12:46 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 11:58 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 11:46 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 11:16 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 10:58 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 10:55 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 01/24 10:25 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 01/24 10:13 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 10:04 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/24 09:49 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 09:45 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 01/24 08:54 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 01/24 08:45 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 01/24 08:40 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 08:24 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/24 07:54 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/24 07:45 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 01/24 07:15 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 01/24 07:04 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/24 06:58 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 03:44 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/24 01:52 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 10:40 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 10:25 PM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 01/23 07:34 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 01/23 06:52 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 06:44 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 01/23 06:14 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 01/23 06:01 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 02:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 01/23 02:43 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
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