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Ball St at Michigan
Wed Dec 2, 2020
7:00pm ET
Ann Arbor, MI
Ball St at Michigan: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Michigan by 15.5, Total Points: 141
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BALL | adv | MICH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-13-0 | 8-24-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-9-0 | 4-17-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 8-6-0 | 5-10-0 | |
| Away | 8-7-0 | 3-14-0 |
Ball St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | Goshen | -- | W by 61 | -- |
| 11/11 | Home | Old Dominion | +3.5 | W by 5 | +8.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Oakland City | -- | W by 41 | -- |
| 11/18 | Away | Evansville | -1.0 | L by 24 | -25.0 |
| 11/21 | Home | SC Upstate | -3.5 | W by 17 | +13.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | -10.0 | W by 18 | +8.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | AR Lit Rock | +2.0 | L by 26 | -24.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Bellarmine | -1.5 | W by 9 | +7.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Detroit | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | SIU Edward | -2.0 | W by 12 | +10.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Indiana St | +15.5 | L by 11 | +4.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | Minnesota | +12.5 | L by 17 | -4.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Kent St | +11.0 | L by 13 | -2.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Central Mich | -6.0 | L by 6 | -12.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Akron | +7.0 | L by 4 | +3.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Toledo | +11.0 | L by 5 | +6.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | E Michigan | -1.0 | W by 14 | +13.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Miami (OH) | -4.0 | L by 7 | -11.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Buffalo | -1.5 | W by 28 | +26.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | N Illinois | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Bowling Grn | -2.5 | L by 9 | -11.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | W Michigan | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Ohio | +2.0 | L by 5 | -3.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Texas St | +3.0 | L by 8 | -5.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Miami (OH) | +2.5 | L by 21 | -18.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | N Illinois | +1.0 | W by 7 | +8.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | E Michigan | -10.5 | L by 2 | -12.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Central Mich | +4.0 | W by 8 | +12.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | W Michigan | -6.5 | L by 2 | -8.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Kent St | +3.0 | W by 7 | +10.0 |
| 03/08 | Away | Bowling Grn | +5.5 | L by 10 | -4.5 |
Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | NC-Asheville | -10.5 | W by 25 | +14.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Youngs St | -16.5 | W by 30 | +13.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | St Johns | +3.0 | W by 16 | +19.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Lg Beach St | -15.0 | L by 8 | -23.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Memphis | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Stanford | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Texas Tech | -2.5 | L by 16 | -18.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Oregon | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | L by 3 | -9.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Iowa | +4.0 | W by 10 | +14.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | E Michigan | -23.5 | W by 17 | -6.5 |
| 12/19 | Neutral | Florida | +3.5 | L by 5 | -1.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | McNeese St | -10.5 | L by 11 | -21.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Minnesota | -5.5 | L by 2 | -7.5 |
| 01/07 | Neutral | Penn St | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Maryland | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Ohio St | -1.5 | W by 8 | +6.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Illinois | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Purdue | +18.0 | L by 32 | -14.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Iowa | -1.5 | L by 10 | -11.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Michigan St | +12.0 | L by 19 | -7.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Rutgers | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Wisconsin | +8.0 | W by 4 | +12.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Nebraska | +10.0 | L by 20 | -10.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Illinois | +15.5 | L by 29 | -13.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Michigan St | +6.0 | L by 10 | -4.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | Northwestern | +11.5 | L by 14 | -2.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Purdue | +13.5 | L by 8 | +5.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Rutgers | +8.0 | L by 30 | -22.0 |
| 03/03 | Away | Ohio St | +12.0 | L by 23 | -11.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Nebraska | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Penn St | +7.0 | L by 9 | -2.0 |
| MICH -15.5 | Open | -14.5 | High | -16.0 |
| Last | -16.0 | Low | -14.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 931 games where the closing line favored the home team by 14.5 to 16.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Michigan won the game 873 times (93.8%).
- The team like Ball St. won the game 58 times (6.2%).
- The team like Ball St. did better against the spread, going 464-454-13 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 25 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 12-10-3 (54.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -15.5 | -15.5 | -15.5 |
| Open | -14.5 | -14.5 | -14.5 |
| History | |||
| 12/02 06:59 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 06:05 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 03:35 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 02:26 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 01:47 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 12:41 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 11:24 AM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
| 12/02 11:15 AM | -- | -- | -15.5 |
| 12/02 11:11 AM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 10:44 AM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 12/02 10:29 AM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 10:20 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 09:55 AM | -- | -- | -15.0 |
| 12/02 09:34 AM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 12/02 08:54 AM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 12/02 08:45 AM | -- | -- | -15.0 |
| 12/02 08:44 AM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 12/02 08:44 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 04:14 AM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 12/02 03:35 AM | -- | -- | -15.0 |
| 12/02 03:32 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 10:15 PM | -- | -- | -14.5 |
| 12/01 06:54 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 12/01 06:44 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
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