NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WCU ETSU
Points 72.3 67.7
Total Points   140.1
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 35.2
Points From 3-Pointers 21.5 18.0
Points From Free Throws 13.8 14.6
Shooting WCU ETSU
Field Goals Made 25.7 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 60.3
Field Goal % 43.4% 39.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 41.1
2 Point Shooting % 47.8% 42.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 13.8 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 22.0
Free Throw % 70.0% 66.1%
Ball Control WCU ETSU
Rebounds 39.2 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 29.0 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 12.0
Turnovers 9.8 8.3
Blocked Shots 2.7 4.8
Steals 3.6 5.3
Fouls 14.8 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: W Carolina

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WCU ETSU
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 73.9
% of Possessions with WCU ETSU
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 49.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.7% 23.1%
Player Fouled 22.1% 21.1%
Turnover 14.0% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 5.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WCU ETSU
Shot Blocked 8.1% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.2% 29.3%