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W Carolina at Samford
Mon Jan 18, 2021
3:00pm ET
Birmingham, AL
W Carolina at Samford: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Western Carolina by 2.5, Total Points: 163.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | WCU | adv | SAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 15-14-0 | 19-14-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-10-0 | 12-9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 5-7-0 | 9-7-0 | |
| Away | 10-7-0 | 10-7-0 |
W Carolina Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | Dalton St. | -- | W by 41 | -- |
| 11/11 | Away | Notre Dame | +4.0 | W by 10 | +14.0 |
| 11/13 | Away | Middle Tenn | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | McNeese St | -6.0 | W by 2 | -4.0 |
| 11/26 | Home | N Alabama | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 11/28 | Away | TN Tech | -5.5 | W by 4 | -1.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Gard-Webb | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | High Point | +1.0 | L by 26 | -25.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | NC-Asheville | -3.5 | W by 15 | +11.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | SC Upstate | -4.0 | W by 17 | +13.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | Vanderbilt | +3.5 | W by 1 | +4.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Brescia | -- | W by 38 | -- |
| 12/30 | Home | King College | -- | W by 28 | -- |
| 01/03 | Away | Citadel | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Wofford | -5.5 | W by 4 | -1.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | E Tenn St | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Mercer | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Samford | -2.0 | L by 4 | -6.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Furman | +4.5 | L by 3 | +1.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -1.5 | L by 3 | -4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | VMI | -21.5 | W by 25 | +3.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Chattanooga | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Wofford | -2.0 | L by 2 | -4.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Citadel | -11.0 | W by 7 | -4.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Mercer | -7.0 | W by 33 | +26.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Samford | +6.5 | L by 26 | -19.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | E Tenn St | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | NC-Grnsboro | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | VMI | -16.0 | W by 33 | +17.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Furman | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Chattanooga | +3.5 | W by 19 | +22.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Furman | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
Samford Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Purdue | +19.5 | L by 53 | -33.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | VCU | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Mississippi College | -- | W by 44 | -- |
| 11/17 | Home | S Car State | -21.0 | W by 17 | -4.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Alabama St | -14.5 | W by 32 | +17.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Merrimack | -10.5 | W by 8 | -2.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | NC A&T | -21.0 | W by 18 | -3.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Louisiana | -3.5 | W by 23 | +19.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | La Grange | -- | W by 46 | -- |
| 12/11 | Home | Alab A&M | -18.0 | W by 27 | +9.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Belmont | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Valparaiso | -8.5 | W by 18 | +9.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | TX Southern | -6.0 | W by 22 | +16.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Chattanooga | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Citadel | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | VMI | -24.0 | W by 38 | +14.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | W Carolina | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Mercer | -13.0 | W by 7 | -6.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Furman | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | E Tenn St | -6.0 | W by 3 | -3.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Wofford | -11.5 | W by 2 | -9.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Chattanooga | +1.5 | W by 22 | +23.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | NC-Grnsboro | +1.0 | W by 9 | +10.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | VMI | -19.5 | W by 39 | +19.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | W Carolina | -6.5 | W by 26 | +19.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Mercer | -10.0 | L by 4 | -14.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Furman | -7.5 | W by 2 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | E Tenn St | -11.0 | W by 16 | +5.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Wofford | -5.5 | L by 22 | -27.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Citadel | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Mercer | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Furman | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | E Tenn St | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Kansas | +7.5 | L by 4 | +3.5 |
| WCU -2.5 | Open | -2.0 | High | -2.5 |
| Last | -2.0 | Low | -2.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2155 games where the closing line favored the away team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Western Carolina won the game 1191 times (55.3%).
- The team like Samford won the game 964 times (44.7%).
- The team like Samford did better against the spread, going 1078-1034-43 (51.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.0 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 145 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Samford did better against the spread, going 76-69 (52.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -2.5 | -2.5 |
| Open | -2.0 | -2.0 | -2.0 |
| History | |||
| 01/18 03:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 01/18 02:56 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 02:25 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 01/18 02:20 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 01:45 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 01/18 01:35 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 01:20 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 12:02 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 11:44 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 11:29 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 10:44 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 09:53 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 08:47 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 08:17 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 03:53 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 12:45 AM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 01/17 11:17 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 07:23 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 07:05 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 05:41 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 05:14 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 04:34 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 01/17 04:23 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
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