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Vermont at Virginia
Tue Nov 19, 2019
7:00pm ET
Charlottesville, VA
Vermont at Virginia: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Virginia by 15.5, Total Points: 111
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UVM | adv | UVA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 14-19-0 | 17-16-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-9-0 | 11-10-1 | |
| Streak | L5 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 5-10-0 | 10-6-1 | |
| Away | 9-9-0 | 7-10-0 |
Vermont Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Merrimack | -15.0 | W by 12 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Plattsburgh State | -- | W by 51 | -- |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Col Charlestn | +3.5 | W by 9 | +12.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Saint Louis | -4.5 | W by 10 | +5.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Liberty | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Northern Vermont-Johnson | -- | W by 49 | -- |
| 11/25 | Away | Bradley | +5.0 | L by 9 | -4.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Dartmouth | -13.0 | W by 11 | -2.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Yale | -1.5 | W by 1 | -0.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Northeastrn | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Colgate | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | VA Tech | +10.5 | L by 22 | -11.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Toledo | +6.5 | W by 26 | +32.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | Miami (OH) | -4.5 | L by 1 | -5.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Brown | -3.0 | W by 1 | -2.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Maine | -10.0 | W by 7 | -3.0 |
| 01/11 | Home | Maryland BC | -17.5 | W by 5 | -12.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | NJIT | -16.0 | W by 21 | +5.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Binghamton | -7.0 | W by 20 | +13.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | Mass Lowell | +2.0 | W by 7 | +9.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Bryant | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | Albany | -12.5 | W by 22 | +9.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Binghamton | -15.5 | W by 13 | -2.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | NJIT | -14.0 | L by 2 | -16.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Maryland BC | -12.5 | W by 2 | -10.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | N Hampshire | -10.0 | W by 16 | +6.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Maine | -6.5 | W by 11 | +4.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Albany | -11.0 | W by 14 | +3.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Bryant | -8.5 | W by 17 | +8.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Mass Lowell | -7.0 | W by 12 | +5.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | N Hampshire | -8.5 | W by 4 | -4.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Albany | -16.5 | W by 3 | -13.5 |
| 03/12 | Home | N Hampshire | -16.0 | W by 7 | -9.0 |
| 03/16 | Home | Mass Lowell | -8.5 | W by 5 | -3.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Duke | +12.5 | L by 17 | -4.5 |
Virginia Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Tarleton St | -17.0 | W by 30 | +13.0 |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Florida | +1.0 | W by 3 | +4.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | NC A&T | -30.5 | W by 29 | -1.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | TX Southern | -22.5 | W by 29 | +6.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -3.5 | L by 24 | -27.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | W Virginia | -9.5 | W by 2 | -7.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Texas A&M | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Syracuse | -10.5 | W by 22 | +11.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | NC Central | -24.5 | W by 30 | +5.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Northeastrn | -16.0 | W by 2 | -14.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | Memphis | +3.5 | L by 23 | -19.5 |
| 12/27 | Home | Morgan St | -26.5 | W by 35 | +8.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Notre Dame | -9.5 | L by 22 | -31.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Louisville | -15.5 | W by 24 | +8.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | NC State | +1.0 | L by 16 | -15.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Wake Forest | +6.0 | L by 19 | -13.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | VA Tech | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | GA Tech | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | NC State | -6.0 | W by 6 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Louisville | -9.0 | W by 17 | +8.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Notre Dame | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Clemson | +4.5 | W by 1 | +5.5 |
| 02/05 | Home | Miami | -5.5 | W by 22 | +16.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Florida St | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Pittsburgh | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Wake Forest | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 02/19 | Away | VA Tech | +3.5 | L by 34 | -30.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | N Carolina | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Boston Col | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Duke | +10.0 | L by 25 | -15.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | GA Tech | -9.5 | W by 15 | +5.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Boston Col | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | NC State | -2.5 | L by 8 | -10.5 |
| 03/19 | Neutral | Colorado St | +2.5 | L by 25 | -22.5 |
| UVA -15.5 | Open | -15.5 | High | -15.5 |
| Last | -15.0 | Low | -14.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 900 games where the closing line favored the home team by 14.5 to 16.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Virginia won the game 847 times (94.1%).
- The team like Vermont won the game 53 times (5.9%).
- The team like Virginia did better against the spread, going 445-440-15 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2748 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Vermont did better against the spread, going 1351-1342-55 (50.2% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -15.5 | -15.0 | -- |
| Open | -14.5 | -15.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/19 07:04 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 11/19 06:52 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 06:16 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 05:12 PM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 04:54 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 11/19 04:24 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 11/19 04:07 PM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 03:44 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 11/19 03:31 PM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 02:58 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 02:44 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 11/19 01:34 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 11/19 01:15 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 01:14 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 11/19 12:04 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 11/19 11:50 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 11:07 AM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 11/19 11:01 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 10:24 AM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
| 11/19 10:15 AM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 09:21 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
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