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Virginia at Clemson
Sat Jan 16, 2021
6:00pm ET
Clemson, SC
Virginia at Clemson: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Virginia by 1.5, Total Points: 116.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UVA | adv | CLEM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-16-1 | 20-15-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-10-1 | 10-10-1 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 10-6-1 | 8-7-1 | |
| Away | 7-10-0 | 12-8-0 |
Virginia Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Tarleton St | -17.0 | W by 30 | +13.0 |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Florida | +1.0 | W by 3 | +4.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | NC A&T | -30.5 | W by 29 | -1.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | TX Southern | -22.5 | W by 29 | +6.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -3.5 | L by 24 | -27.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | W Virginia | -9.5 | W by 2 | -7.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Texas A&M | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Syracuse | -10.5 | W by 22 | +11.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | NC Central | -24.5 | W by 30 | +5.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Northeastrn | -16.0 | W by 2 | -14.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | Memphis | +3.5 | L by 23 | -19.5 |
| 12/27 | Home | Morgan St | -26.5 | W by 35 | +8.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Notre Dame | -9.5 | L by 22 | -31.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Louisville | -15.5 | W by 24 | +8.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | NC State | +1.0 | L by 16 | -15.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Wake Forest | +6.0 | L by 19 | -13.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | VA Tech | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | GA Tech | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | NC State | -6.0 | W by 6 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Louisville | -9.0 | W by 17 | +8.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Notre Dame | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Clemson | +4.5 | W by 1 | +5.5 |
| 02/05 | Home | Miami | -5.5 | W by 22 | +16.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Florida St | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Pittsburgh | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Wake Forest | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 02/19 | Away | VA Tech | +3.5 | L by 34 | -30.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | N Carolina | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Boston Col | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Duke | +10.0 | L by 25 | -15.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | GA Tech | -9.5 | W by 15 | +5.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Boston Col | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | NC State | -2.5 | L by 8 | -10.5 |
| 03/19 | Neutral | Colorado St | +2.5 | L by 25 | -22.5 |
Clemson Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Winthrop | -15.0 | W by 22 | +7.0 |
| 11/10 | Neutral | UAB | -6.5 | W by 1 | -5.5 |
| 11/12 | Neutral | Davidson | -8.0 | W by 3 | -5.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Boise St | -5.5 | W by 17 | +11.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Alcorn St | -22.5 | W by 21 | -1.5 |
| 11/28 | Away | Alabama | +8.0 | W by 8 | +16.0 |
| 12/03 | Away | Pittsburgh | +1.5 | W by 9 | +10.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | S Carolina | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | TX Christian | +2.0 | W by 8 | +10.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | Memphis | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Queens | -21.0 | W by 30 | +9.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Radford | -15.5 | W by 35 | +19.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Miami | -1.5 | L by 13 | -14.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | N Carolina | -3.0 | L by 10 | -13.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | VA Tech | -2.0 | L by 15 | -17.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Boston Col | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | GA Tech | -11.5 | L by 3 | -14.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Florida St | -2.0 | W by 11 | +9.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Duke | +7.5 | L by 1 | +6.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Louisville | -16.0 | W by 6 | -10.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Virginia | -4.5 | L by 1 | -5.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | N Carolina | +6.5 | W by 4 | +10.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Syracuse | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Miami | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | NC State | -8.0 | L by 1 | -9.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | GA Tech | -8.0 | W by 24 | +16.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Florida St | -10.0 | W by 11 | +1.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | Pittsburgh | -7.0 | W by 7 | 0.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Notre Dame | -6.0 | L by 7 | -13.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Syracuse | -10.0 | W by 15 | +5.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Wake Forest | +3.5 | L by 5 | -1.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Boston Col | -7.5 | L by 21 | -28.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | New Mexico | +2.0 | W by 21 | +23.0 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Baylor | +4.5 | W by 8 | +12.5 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Arizona | +7.0 | W by 5 | +12.0 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Alabama | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| UVA -1.5 | Open | +1.0 | High | -2.0 |
| Last | -2.0 | Low | +1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1760 games where the closing line favored the away team by 0.5 to 2.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Virginia won the game 951 times (54.0%).
- The team like Clemson won the game 809 times (46.0%).
- The team like Clemson did better against the spread, going 864-863-33 (50.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 11 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 4 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Virginia did better against the spread, going 7-4 (63.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 3.6 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -1.5 | -2.0 | -1.5 |
| Open | +1.0 | +1.0 | -1.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/16 05:59 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 05:29 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 02:44 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 01:23 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 01:05 PM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 01/16 12:26 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 11:29 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 10:23 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 10:20 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 10:04 AM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 01/16 09:55 AM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 01/16 09:08 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 06:29 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 01:14 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 12:04 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 01/15 11:55 PM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 01/15 09:44 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 01/15 09:35 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 08:44 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 01/15 08:04 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 01/15 07:47 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 06:56 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 06:44 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
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