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Virginia at Michigan
Tue Nov 29, 2022
9:30pm ET
Ann Arbor, MI
Virginia at Michigan: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Virginia by 4.5, Total Points: 129
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UVA | adv | MICH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-16-1 | 8-24-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-10-1 | 4-17-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 10-6-1 | 5-10-0 | |
| Away | 7-10-0 | 3-14-0 |
Virginia Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Tarleton St | -17.0 | W by 30 | +13.0 |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Florida | +1.0 | W by 3 | +4.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | NC A&T | -30.5 | W by 29 | -1.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | TX Southern | -22.5 | W by 29 | +6.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -3.5 | L by 24 | -27.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | W Virginia | -9.5 | W by 2 | -7.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Texas A&M | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Syracuse | -10.5 | W by 22 | +11.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | NC Central | -24.5 | W by 30 | +5.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Northeastrn | -16.0 | W by 2 | -14.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | Memphis | +3.5 | L by 23 | -19.5 |
| 12/27 | Home | Morgan St | -26.5 | W by 35 | +8.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Notre Dame | -9.5 | L by 22 | -31.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Louisville | -15.5 | W by 24 | +8.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | NC State | +1.0 | L by 16 | -15.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Wake Forest | +6.0 | L by 19 | -13.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | VA Tech | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | GA Tech | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | NC State | -6.0 | W by 6 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Louisville | -9.0 | W by 17 | +8.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Notre Dame | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Clemson | +4.5 | W by 1 | +5.5 |
| 02/05 | Home | Miami | -5.5 | W by 22 | +16.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Florida St | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Pittsburgh | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Wake Forest | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 02/19 | Away | VA Tech | +3.5 | L by 34 | -30.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | N Carolina | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Boston Col | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Duke | +10.0 | L by 25 | -15.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | GA Tech | -9.5 | W by 15 | +5.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Boston Col | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | NC State | -2.5 | L by 8 | -10.5 |
| 03/19 | Neutral | Colorado St | +2.5 | L by 25 | -22.5 |
Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | NC-Asheville | -10.5 | W by 25 | +14.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Youngs St | -16.5 | W by 30 | +13.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | St Johns | +3.0 | W by 16 | +19.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Lg Beach St | -15.0 | L by 8 | -23.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Memphis | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Stanford | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Texas Tech | -2.5 | L by 16 | -18.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Oregon | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | L by 3 | -9.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Iowa | +4.0 | W by 10 | +14.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | E Michigan | -23.5 | W by 17 | -6.5 |
| 12/19 | Neutral | Florida | +3.5 | L by 5 | -1.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | McNeese St | -10.5 | L by 11 | -21.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Minnesota | -5.5 | L by 2 | -7.5 |
| 01/07 | Neutral | Penn St | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Maryland | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Ohio St | -1.5 | W by 8 | +6.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Illinois | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Purdue | +18.0 | L by 32 | -14.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Iowa | -1.5 | L by 10 | -11.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Michigan St | +12.0 | L by 19 | -7.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Rutgers | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Wisconsin | +8.0 | W by 4 | +12.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Nebraska | +10.0 | L by 20 | -10.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Illinois | +15.5 | L by 29 | -13.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Michigan St | +6.0 | L by 10 | -4.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | Northwestern | +11.5 | L by 14 | -2.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Purdue | +13.5 | L by 8 | +5.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Rutgers | +8.0 | L by 30 | -22.0 |
| 03/03 | Away | Ohio St | +12.0 | L by 23 | -11.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Nebraska | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Penn St | +7.0 | L by 9 | -2.0 |
| UVA -4.5 | Open | -4.0 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -3.5 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1623 games where the closing line favored the away team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Virginia won the game 1026 times (63.2%).
- The team like Michigan won the game 597 times (36.8%).
- The team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 823-772-28 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4113 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Virginia did better against the spread, going 2058-1973-82 (51.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -4.0 | -- |
| Open | -4.0 | -4.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/29 09:28 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 09:24 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/29 09:19 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 09:04 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/29 08:34 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/29 07:14 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/29 07:01 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 06:22 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 06:04 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/29 05:58 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 05:54 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/29 05:10 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 04:22 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 03:46 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 03:44 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/29 03:04 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/29 02:52 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 02:44 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 11/29 02:37 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 01:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 11/29 01:31 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 01:22 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 10:04 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 09:44 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 11/29 09:35 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 08:31 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 08:24 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/29 08:07 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 12:14 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/28 08:54 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/28 02:34 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
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