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Central Mich at Kentucky
Mon Nov 29, 2021
7:00pm ET
Lexington, KY
Central Mich at Kentucky: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Kentucky by 32, Total Points: 147.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | CMU | adv | UK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-15-0 | 18-15-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-8-0 | 10-9-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 7-5-0 | 8-10-0 | |
| Away | 9-10-0 | 10-5-0 |
Central Mich Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Oklahoma | +21.5 | L by 30 | -8.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | UL Monroe | -2.5 | L by 10 | -12.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | Florida St | +20.5 | L by 27 | -6.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | S Florida | +17.0 | W by 5 | +22.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Siena | -5.0 | W by 14 | +9.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Stetson | +4.0 | L by 10 | -6.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Ohio St | +24.0 | L by 27 | -3.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Valparaiso | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Creighton | +31.0 | L by 45 | -14.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Davenport | -- | W by 24 | -- |
| 12/21 | Home | Detroit | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Loyola-Chi | +14.5 | L by 38 | -23.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Buffalo | -2.0 | L by 12 | -14.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Ball St | +6.0 | W by 6 | +12.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | E Michigan | +4.5 | W by 16 | +20.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Kent St | +7.0 | W by 15 | +22.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Ohio | +10.5 | L by 12 | -1.5 |
| 01/19 | Home | Toledo | +7.5 | W by 3 | +10.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Miami (OH) | -1.5 | W by 16 | +14.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | W Michigan | +3.0 | W by 7 | +10.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | N Illinois | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Bowling Grn | +9.0 | W by 1 | +10.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Akron | +13.5 | L by 21 | -7.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Old Dominion | +3.5 | W by 1 | +4.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | W Michigan | -5.5 | W by 27 | +21.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Bowling Grn | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Miami (OH) | +3.0 | L by 28 | -25.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | Ball St | -4.0 | L by 8 | -12.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Kent St | +10.0 | L by 6 | +4.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | N Illinois | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | E Michigan | -8.5 | W by 3 | -5.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Bowling Grn | +4.0 | L by 10 | -6.0 |
Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Mex State | -15.0 | W by 40 | +25.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | TX A&M-Com | -29.0 | W by 20 | -9.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Kansas | +7.0 | L by 5 | +2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Stonehill | -37.5 | W by 34 | -3.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | St Josephs | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Marshall | -18.5 | W by 36 | +17.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Miami | -6.0 | W by 22 | +16.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | NC-Wilmgton | -18.0 | L by 7 | -25.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | U Penn | -13.5 | W by 15 | +1.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | N Carolina | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Louisville | -14.0 | W by 19 | +5.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Illinois St | -20.0 | W by 26 | +6.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Florida | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Missouri | -11.5 | W by 13 | +1.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Texas A&M | +3.0 | L by 5 | -2.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Miss State | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Georgia | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | S Carolina | -5.5 | L by 17 | -22.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Arkansas | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Florida | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Tennessee | -1.5 | L by 11 | -12.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Vanderbilt | -8.5 | W by 32 | +23.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Gonzaga | -4.5 | L by 4 | -8.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Mississippi | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Auburn | +8.5 | W by 11 | +19.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | LSU | -6.5 | L by 1 | -7.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Alabama | -2.5 | W by 22 | +19.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Miss State | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Arkansas | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Vanderbilt | -18.0 | W by 16 | -2.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Tennessee | +8.5 | W by 4 | +12.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Texas A&M | -5.5 | L by 10 | -15.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Oakland | -13.0 | L by 4 | -17.0 |
| UK -32.0 | Open | -28.5 | High | -32.0 |
| Last | -30.0 | Low | -28.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 76 games where the closing line favored the home team by 31 to 33 points. In these games:
- The team like Kentucky won the game 76 times (100.0%).
- The team like Central Michigan won the game 0 times (0.0%).
- The team like Kentucky did better against the spread, going 42-33-1 (56.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 143 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Central Michigan did better against the spread, going 82-59-2 (58.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.7 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -32.0 | -32.0 | -32.0 |
| Open | -28.0 | -28.0 | -29.0 |
| History | |||
| 11/29 07:04 PM | -- | -32.0 | -- |
| 11/29 06:59 PM | -32.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 06:45 PM | -- | -- | -32.0 |
| 11/29 06:44 PM | -- | -31.0 | -- |
| 11/29 06:43 PM | -32.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 06:14 PM | -- | -30.0 | -- |
| 11/29 06:10 PM | -29.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 06:04 PM | -- | -29.5 | -- |
| 11/29 05:34 PM | -29.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 05:15 PM | -- | -- | -30.0 |
| 11/29 04:25 PM | -- | -- | -30.5 |
| 11/29 04:22 PM | -30.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 04:13 PM | -30.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 02:35 PM | -- | -- | -30.0 |
| 11/29 02:31 PM | -30.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 11:25 AM | -- | -- | -30.5 |
| 11/29 10:37 AM | -30.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 10:19 AM | -30.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 09:56 AM | -30.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 09:35 AM | -- | -- | -29.5 |
| 11/29 09:34 AM | -30.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 08:44 AM | -- | -30.5 | -- |
| 11/29 08:35 AM | -- | -- | -30.5 |
| 11/29 08:28 AM | -30.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 08:24 AM | -- | -30.0 | -- |
| 11/29 08:14 AM | -- | -30.0 | -- |
| 11/29 08:13 AM | -30.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 07:54 AM | -- | -30.0 | -- |
| 11/29 07:45 AM | -- | -- | -29.5 |
| 11/29 06:35 AM | -- | -- | -30.0 |
| 11/29 06:04 AM | -- | -30.0 | -- |
| 11/29 05:16 AM | -30.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 03:34 AM | -- | -30.0 | -- |
| 11/29 01:44 AM | -- | -30.0 | -- |
| 11/29 12:43 AM | -30.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 12:35 AM | -- | -- | -30.0 |
| 11/28 10:45 PM | -- | -- | -29.0 |
| 11/28 10:44 PM | -- | -28.5 | -- |
| 11/28 10:31 PM | -29.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 07:54 PM | -- | -28.0 | -- |
| 11/28 04:55 PM | -28.0 | -- | -- |
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