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E Kentucky at W Kentucky
Sat Dec 4, 2021
7:00pm ET
Bowling Green, KY
E Kentucky at W Kentucky: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Western Kentucky by 3.5, Total Points: 154.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | EKY | adv | WKU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-15-0 | 19-12-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-7-0 | 13-6-0 | |
| Streak | L5 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 7-7-0 | 7-4-0 | |
| Away | 6-8-0 | 12-8-0 |
E Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | West Virginia Tech | -- | W by 36 | -- |
| 11/10 | Home | Wilberforce | -- | W by 58 | -- |
| 11/17 | Home | TN Martin | -8.0 | L by 6 | -14.0 |
| 11/21 | Home | Prairie View | -11.5 | L by 12 | -23.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | Troy | -5.5 | W by 1 | -4.5 |
| 12/03 | Away | W Kentucky | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 12/07 | Away | NC-Grnsboro | +6.5 | L by 2 | +4.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Bethany (WV) | -- | W by 65 | -- |
| 12/13 | Away | Louisiana | +2.0 | L by 11 | -9.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | N Kentucky | -3.5 | L by 10 | -13.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | Troy | +2.5 | L by 7 | -4.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | Alabama | +23.5 | L by 44 | -20.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | Purdue | +29.0 | L by 27 | +2.0 |
| 01/04 | Home | Lipscomb | -1.0 | W by 8 | +7.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Austin Peay | -4.5 | W by 10 | +5.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | Central Ark | -6.0 | W by 23 | +17.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | N Alabama | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Bellarmine | -11.0 | W by 12 | +1.0 |
| 01/25 | Home | Jacksonville | -11.0 | W by 16 | +5.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | N Florida | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | Queens | -4.5 | L by 18 | -22.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Kennesaw St | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Fla Gulf Cst | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Stetson | -2.0 | L by 8 | -10.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Chicago St | -11.0 | W by 13 | +2.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Bellarmine | -6.0 | W by 10 | +4.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | N Alabama | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Central Ark | -13.5 | W by 13 | -0.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Austin Peay | -2.0 | L by 4 | -6.0 |
| 03/01 | Away | Lipscomb | +3.5 | L by 14 | -10.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Jacksonville | -8.5 | L by 2 | -10.5 |
W Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Kentucky Wesleyan | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 11/09 | Away | Wichita St | +7.5 | L by 10 | -2.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Murray St | +1.0 | W by 5 | +6.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Kentucky State | -- | W by 20 | -- |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Bowling Grn | -4.5 | W by 7 | +2.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Canisius | -6.5 | L by 8 | -14.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | NC-Asheville | -6.0 | L by 10 | -16.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Campbellsville | -- | W by 24 | -- |
| 12/03 | Home | E Kentucky | -4.5 | W by 10 | +5.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Buffalo | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 12/12 | Away | Wright St | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Austin Peay | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Cal Baptist | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Abl Christian | -5.0 | W by 2 | -3.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Liberty | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Sam Hous St | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Jksnville St | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | N Mex State | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | TX El Paso | +1.5 | L by 6 | -4.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Florida Intl | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | Sam Hous St | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Middle Tenn | -6.5 | W by 23 | +16.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | LA Tech | +10.0 | W by 5 | +15.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Jksnville St | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 02/15 | Home | TX El Paso | -7.0 | W by 10 | +3.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | N Mex State | -9.5 | W by 14 | +4.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Middle Tenn | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | LA Tech | -2.0 | L by 6 | -8.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Florida Intl | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Liberty | +6.5 | L by 3 | +3.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | N Mex State | -6.5 | W by 20 | +13.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Middle Tenn | -6.0 | W by 31 | +25.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | TX El Paso | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Marquette | +14.5 | L by 18 | -3.5 |
| WKU -3.5 | Open | -6.5 | High | -6.5 |
| Last | -5.0 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3081 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Western Kentucky won the game 1907 times (61.9%).
- The team like Eastern Kentucky won the game 1174 times (38.1%).
- The team like Western Kentucky did better against the spread, going 1530-1494-57 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 244 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Western Kentucky did better against the spread, going 124-112-8 (52.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| Open | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/04 06:46 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 04:34 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 01:56 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 12:38 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 12:02 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 11:44 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 11:20 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 10:59 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 08:47 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
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