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Nebraska at Purdue
Fri Jan 14, 2022
6:30pm ET
West Lafayette, IN
Nebraska at Purdue: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Purdue by 20, Total Points: 154
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NEB | adv | PUR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-13-0 | 21-16-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-8-0 | 9-13-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 15-4-0 | 7-8-1 | |
| Away | 6-9-0 | 14-8-1 |
Nebraska Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Lindenwood | -22.0 | W by 32 | +10.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Florida A&M | -26.5 | W by 27 | +0.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Rider | -14.5 | W by 14 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Stony Brook | -16.0 | W by 21 | +5.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Oregon St | -8.0 | W by 21 | +13.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Duquesne | -6.0 | W by 10 | +4.0 |
| 11/26 | Home | CS Fullerton | -17.0 | W by 13 | -4.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Creighton | +4.0 | L by 29 | -25.0 |
| 12/06 | Away | Minnesota | -2.0 | L by 11 | -13.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | Michigan St | +3.5 | W by 7 | +10.5 |
| 12/17 | Away | Kansas St | +4.0 | W by 16 | +20.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | North Dakota | -17.0 | W by 8 | -9.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | S Car State | -26.0 | W by 29 | +3.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Indiana | -4.5 | W by 16 | +11.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Wisconsin | +5.5 | L by 16 | -10.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Purdue | +7.5 | W by 16 | +23.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Iowa | +4.5 | L by 18 | -13.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Rutgers | +3.0 | L by 5 | -2.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Northwestern | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Ohio St | -4.0 | W by 14 | +10.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Maryland | +5.0 | L by 22 | -17.0 |
| 02/01 | Home | Wisconsin | (Pick) | W by 8 | +8.0 |
| 02/04 | Away | Illinois | +10.0 | L by 3 | +7.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Northwestern | +6.5 | L by 12 | -5.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Michigan | -10.0 | W by 20 | +10.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Penn St | -8.0 | W by 19 | +11.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Indiana | +1.5 | W by 15 | +16.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Minnesota | -7.0 | W by 18 | +11.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | Ohio St | +2.5 | L by 9 | -6.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Rutgers | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Michigan | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Indiana | -5.5 | W by 27 | +21.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Illinois | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Texas A&M | +1.0 | L by 15 | -14.0 |
Purdue Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Samford | -19.5 | W by 53 | +33.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Morehead St | -29.5 | W by 30 | +0.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Xavier | -17.0 | W by 12 | -5.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Gonzaga | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Tennessee | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Marquette | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | TX Southern | -32.0 | W by 32 | 0.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | Northwestern | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Iowa | -13.5 | W by 19 | +5.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Alabama | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Arizona | +2.0 | W by 8 | +10.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Jacksonville | -32.5 | W by 43 | +10.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | E Kentucky | -29.0 | W by 27 | -2.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Maryland | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 01/05 | Home | Illinois | -10.5 | W by 5 | -5.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Nebraska | -7.5 | L by 16 | -23.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Penn St | -18.0 | W by 17 | -1.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Indiana | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Iowa | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Michigan | -18.0 | W by 32 | +14.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | Rutgers | -10.0 | W by 8 | -2.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Northwestern | -14.0 | W by 9 | -5.0 |
| 02/04 | Away | Wisconsin | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Indiana | -17.0 | W by 20 | +3.0 |
| 02/15 | Home | Minnesota | -16.5 | W by 8 | -8.5 |
| 02/18 | Away | Ohio St | -8.0 | L by 4 | -12.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Rutgers | -14.5 | W by 28 | +13.5 |
| 02/25 | Away | Michigan | -13.5 | W by 8 | -5.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Michigan St | -10.0 | W by 6 | -4.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Illinois | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Wisconsin | -10.0 | W by 8 | -2.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Michigan St | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -6.0 | L by 1 | -7.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Grambling St | -27.0 | W by 28 | +1.0 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Utah St | -11.5 | W by 39 | +27.5 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Gonzaga | -4.5 | W by 12 | +7.5 |
| 03/31 | Neutral | Tennessee | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | NC State | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 04/08 | Neutral | Connecticut | +7.0 | L by 15 | -8.0 |
| PUR -20.0 | Open | -22.0 | High | -22.0 |
| Last | -20.5 | Low | -20.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 546 games where the closing line favored the home team by 19 to 21 points. In these games:
- The team like Purdue won the game 535 times (98.0%).
- The team like Nebraska won the game 11 times (2.0%).
- The team like Purdue did better against the spread, going 278-259-9 (51.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 979 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Nebraska did better against the spread, going 482-472-25 (50.5% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -20.0 | -20.0 | -20.0 |
| Open | -20.0 | -20.0 | -20.0 |
| History | |||
| 01/14 06:22 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 05:49 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 03:43 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 02:55 PM | -- | -- | -20.0 |
| 01/14 02:43 PM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 02:19 PM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 02:05 PM | -- | -- | -20.5 |
| 01/14 12:52 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 12:10 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 12:04 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 11:25 AM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 11:05 AM | -- | -- | -20.0 |
| 01/14 10:58 AM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 10:34 AM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 08:07 AM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 06:07 AM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/13 10:55 PM | -- | -- | -20.0 |
| 01/13 02:54 PM | -- | -20.0 | -- |
| 01/13 02:37 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
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