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Nebraska at Michigan
Wed Feb 8, 2023
6:30pm ET
Ann Arbor, MI
Nebraska at Michigan: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Michigan by 11.5, Total Points: 137.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NEB | adv | MICH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-13-0 | 8-24-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-8-0 | 4-17-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 15-4-0 | 5-10-0 | |
| Away | 6-9-0 | 3-14-0 |
Nebraska Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Lindenwood | -22.0 | W by 32 | +10.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Florida A&M | -26.5 | W by 27 | +0.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Rider | -14.5 | W by 14 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Stony Brook | -16.0 | W by 21 | +5.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Oregon St | -8.0 | W by 21 | +13.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Duquesne | -6.0 | W by 10 | +4.0 |
| 11/26 | Home | CS Fullerton | -17.0 | W by 13 | -4.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Creighton | +4.0 | L by 29 | -25.0 |
| 12/06 | Away | Minnesota | -2.0 | L by 11 | -13.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | Michigan St | +3.5 | W by 7 | +10.5 |
| 12/17 | Away | Kansas St | +4.0 | W by 16 | +20.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | North Dakota | -17.0 | W by 8 | -9.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | S Car State | -26.0 | W by 29 | +3.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Indiana | -4.5 | W by 16 | +11.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Wisconsin | +5.5 | L by 16 | -10.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Purdue | +7.5 | W by 16 | +23.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Iowa | +4.5 | L by 18 | -13.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Rutgers | +3.0 | L by 5 | -2.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Northwestern | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Ohio St | -4.0 | W by 14 | +10.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Maryland | +5.0 | L by 22 | -17.0 |
| 02/01 | Home | Wisconsin | (Pick) | W by 8 | +8.0 |
| 02/04 | Away | Illinois | +10.0 | L by 3 | +7.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Northwestern | +6.5 | L by 12 | -5.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Michigan | -10.0 | W by 20 | +10.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Penn St | -8.0 | W by 19 | +11.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Indiana | +1.5 | W by 15 | +16.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Minnesota | -7.0 | W by 18 | +11.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | Ohio St | +2.5 | L by 9 | -6.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Rutgers | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Michigan | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Indiana | -5.5 | W by 27 | +21.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Illinois | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Texas A&M | +1.0 | L by 15 | -14.0 |
Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | NC-Asheville | -10.5 | W by 25 | +14.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Youngs St | -16.5 | W by 30 | +13.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | St Johns | +3.0 | W by 16 | +19.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Lg Beach St | -15.0 | L by 8 | -23.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Memphis | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Stanford | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Texas Tech | -2.5 | L by 16 | -18.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Oregon | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | L by 3 | -9.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Iowa | +4.0 | W by 10 | +14.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | E Michigan | -23.5 | W by 17 | -6.5 |
| 12/19 | Neutral | Florida | +3.5 | L by 5 | -1.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | McNeese St | -10.5 | L by 11 | -21.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Minnesota | -5.5 | L by 2 | -7.5 |
| 01/07 | Neutral | Penn St | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Maryland | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Ohio St | -1.5 | W by 8 | +6.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Illinois | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Purdue | +18.0 | L by 32 | -14.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Iowa | -1.5 | L by 10 | -11.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Michigan St | +12.0 | L by 19 | -7.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Rutgers | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Wisconsin | +8.0 | W by 4 | +12.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Nebraska | +10.0 | L by 20 | -10.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Illinois | +15.5 | L by 29 | -13.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Michigan St | +6.0 | L by 10 | -4.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | Northwestern | +11.5 | L by 14 | -2.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Purdue | +13.5 | L by 8 | +5.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Rutgers | +8.0 | L by 30 | -22.0 |
| 03/03 | Away | Ohio St | +12.0 | L by 23 | -11.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Nebraska | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Penn St | +7.0 | L by 9 | -2.0 |
| MICH -11.5 | Open | -8.0 | High | -12.0 |
| Last | -12.0 | Low | -8.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1857 games where the closing line favored the home team by 10.5 to 12.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Michigan won the game 1610 times (86.7%).
- The team like Nebraska won the game 247 times (13.3%).
- The team like Nebraska did better against the spread, going 948-884-25 (51.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 191 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 96-92-3 (51.1% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -12.0 | -11.5 | -- |
| Open | -10.5 | -10.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/08 06:34 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 02/08 06:22 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 06:19 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 06:14 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 02/08 05:13 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 04:14 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 02/08 03:54 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 02/08 03:24 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 02/08 02:16 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 01:34 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 02/08 12:34 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 08:22 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 08:04 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/07 11:34 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/07 11:13 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 02/07 10:23 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 02/07 09:10 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/07 08:53 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 02/07 04:28 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/07 03:52 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
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