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Oklahoma St at Baylor
Thu Mar 4, 2021
7:00pm ET
Waco, TX
Oklahoma St at Baylor: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Baylor by 12, Total Points: 148
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | OKST | adv | BAY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-19-2 | 20-12-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-12-0 | 11-8-1 | |
| Streak | L6 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 6-10-2 | 10-5-1 | |
| Away | 5-9-0 | 10-7-1 |
Oklahoma St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Abl Christian | -10.5 | L by 5 | -15.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | Sam Hous St | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | St Bonavent | -3.0 | L by 2 | -5.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Notre Dame | -7.5 | L by 2 | -9.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | New Orleans | -13.5 | W by 28 | +14.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Hsn Christian | -27.0 | W by 27 | 0.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Creighton | +8.0 | L by 14 | -6.0 |
| 12/05 | Away | S Illinois | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 12/10 | Neutral | Tulsa | -7.0 | W by 15 | +8.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | Oral Roberts | -8.5 | W by 21 | +12.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Wofford | -13.5 | W by 6 | -7.5 |
| 12/31 | Home | S Car State | -24.5 | W by 16 | -8.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Chicago St | -19.0 | W by 19 | 0.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Baylor | +4.0 | L by 5 | -1.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | Texas Tech | +7.5 | L by 17 | -9.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Iowa St | +12.5 | L by 24 | -11.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Kansas | +7.0 | L by 24 | -17.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Kansas St | +9.0 | L by 4 | +5.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | TX Christian | +4.0 | L by 5 | -1.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | W Virginia | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Kansas | +14.5 | L by 29 | -14.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Kansas St | +2.0 | W by 3 | +5.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Houston | +21.0 | L by 16 | +5.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Oklahoma | +11.5 | L by 4 | +7.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | BYU | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Cincinnati | +10.0 | W by 4 | +14.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Oklahoma | -1.5 | L by 2 | -3.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | UCF | -2.0 | L by 6 | -8.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Texas | +10.0 | L by 16 | -6.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Texas Tech | +2.5 | L by 17 | -14.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | BYU | +13.5 | L by 14 | -0.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | UCF | +4.0 | L by 15 | -11.0 |
Baylor Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Neutral | Auburn | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | John Brown | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 11/12 | Home | Gard-Webb | -22.5 | W by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Kansas City | -24.5 | W by 38 | +13.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Oregon St | -16.0 | W by 16 | 0.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Florida | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Nicholls | -26.5 | W by 38 | +11.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | NW State | -34.0 | W by 51 | +17.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Seton Hall | -11.0 | W by 18 | +7.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Michigan St | -3.5 | L by 24 | -27.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Duke | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Miss Val St | -40.5 | W by 59 | +18.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Cornell | -16.0 | W by 19 | +3.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Oklahoma St | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | BYU | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Cincinnati | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Kansas St | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Texas | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | TX Christian | -4.0 | L by 3 | -7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | UCF | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Iowa St | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Texas Tech | -6.0 | W by 6 | 0.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Kansas | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Oklahoma | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | W Virginia | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | BYU | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Houston | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 02/26 | Away | TX Christian | +2.5 | W by 8 | +10.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Kansas | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Texas | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Texas Tech | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Cincinnati | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Iowa St | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Colgate | -14.5 | W by 25 | +10.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Clemson | -4.5 | L by 8 | -12.5 |
| BAY -12.0 | Open | -12.5 | High | -12.5 |
| Last | -11.0 | Low | -11.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1640 games where the closing line favored the home team by 11 to 13 points. In these games:
- The team like Baylor won the game 1449 times (88.4%).
- The team like Oklahoma State won the game 191 times (11.6%).
- The team like Oklahoma State did better against the spread, going 806-798-36 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 679 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Baylor did better against the spread, going 334-318-27 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -12.5 | -12.0 | -12.0 |
| Open | -11.5 | -11.5 | -11.0 |
| History | |||
| 03/04 06:59 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 06:50 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 06:05 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 05:23 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 04:38 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 03:23 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 02:47 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 01:50 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 01:23 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 12:47 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 12:26 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 11:59 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 10:55 AM | -- | -- | -12.0 |
| 03/04 10:50 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 10:26 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 09:53 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 09:17 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 08:54 AM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 03/04 08:25 AM | -- | -- | -11.5 |
| 03/04 08:20 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 02:50 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 02:29 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 11:45 PM | -- | -- | -11.0 |
| 03/03 11:44 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 04:44 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 03/03 04:35 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
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