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Alabama vs. N Carolina
Thu Mar 28, 2024
9:39pm ET
Los Angeles, CA
(Neutral Site)
Alabama vs. N Carolina: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: North Carolina by 4.5, Total Points: 175
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ALA | adv | UNC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-16-0 | 21-16-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-9-0 | 13-10-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 11-5-0 | 8-7-0 | |
| Away | 10-11-0 | 13-9-0 |
Alabama Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Morehead St | -22.0 | W by 32 | +10.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Indiana St | -17.0 | W by 22 | +5.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | S Alabama | -20.5 | W by 56 | +35.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Mercer | -30.5 | W by 31 | +0.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Ohio St | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Oregon | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Clemson | -8.0 | L by 8 | -16.0 |
| 12/04 | Home | Arkansas St | -25.5 | W by 24 | -1.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Purdue | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | Creighton | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Arizona | +7.0 | L by 13 | -6.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | E Kentucky | -23.5 | W by 44 | +20.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Liberty | -9.5 | W by 45 | +35.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 3 | -10.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | S Carolina | -12.0 | W by 27 | +15.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Miss State | +1.0 | W by 8 | +9.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Missouri | -14.5 | W by 18 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Tennessee | +5.5 | L by 20 | -14.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Auburn | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | LSU | -12.5 | W by 21 | +8.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Georgia | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Miss State | -8.5 | W by 32 | +23.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Auburn | +5.5 | L by 18 | -12.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | LSU | -8.5 | W by 17 | +8.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Texas A&M | -8.0 | W by 25 | +17.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Florida | -10.0 | W by 5 | -5.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Kentucky | +2.5 | L by 22 | -19.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Mississippi | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Tennessee | -4.5 | L by 7 | -11.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Florida | +2.5 | L by 18 | -15.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Arkansas | -15.5 | W by 4 | -11.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Florida | -4.5 | L by 14 | -18.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Col Charlestn | -8.0 | W by 13 | +5.0 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Grd Canyon | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | N Carolina | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Clemson | -3.0 | W by 7 | +4.0 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | Connecticut | +10.0 | L by 14 | -4.0 |
N Carolina Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Radford | -18.5 | W by 16 | -2.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | Lehigh | -24.0 | W by 22 | -2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | UC Riverside | -23.5 | W by 25 | +1.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | N Iowa | -11.5 | W by 22 | +10.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Villanova | -2.5 | L by 2 | -4.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Arkansas | -3.5 | W by 15 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Tennessee | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Florida St | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | Connecticut | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Kentucky | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Oklahoma | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Charl South | -30.5 | W by 45 | +14.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Pittsburgh | -4.0 | W by 13 | +9.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Clemson | +3.0 | W by 10 | +13.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | NC State | -3.0 | W by 13 | +10.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Syracuse | -12.0 | W by 36 | +24.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Louisville | -21.0 | W by 16 | -5.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Boston Col | -7.5 | W by 10 | +2.5 |
| 01/22 | Home | Wake Forest | -8.0 | W by 21 | +13.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Florida St | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | GA Tech | -8.5 | L by 1 | -9.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Duke | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Clemson | -6.5 | L by 4 | -10.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Miami | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Syracuse | -8.0 | L by 7 | -15.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | VA Tech | -11.0 | W by 15 | +4.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Virginia | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 02/26 | Home | Miami | -14.0 | W by 4 | -10.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | NC State | -11.0 | W by 9 | -2.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Notre Dame | -16.0 | W by 33 | +17.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Duke | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Florida St | -11.0 | W by 25 | +14.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Pittsburgh | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | NC State | -10.0 | L by 8 | -18.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Wagner | -25.5 | W by 28 | +2.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Michigan St | -4.0 | W by 16 | +12.0 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Alabama | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| UNC -4.5 | Open | -4.0 | High | -5.0 |
| Last | -5.0 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1006 neutral site games where the closing line favored one team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like North Carolina won the game 664 times (66.0%).
- The team like Alabama won the game 342 times (34.0%).
- The team like North Carolina did better against the spread, going 505-487-14 (50.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4069 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like North Carolina did better against the spread, going 2004-1991-74 (50.2% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -4.5 | -- |
| Open | -4.5 | -4.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/28 09:53 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/28 09:49 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 09:40 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 09:22 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/28 09:19 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 09:11 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/28 08:10 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 07:52 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 07:31 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 07:14 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/28 06:22 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 03/28 06:16 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 03:46 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/28 03:40 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/28 03:34 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 02:40 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 02:07 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 01:48 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/28 01:05 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 12:49 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 12:10 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 11:49 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 11:34 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 11:01 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 10:16 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 08:22 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 07:22 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 06:25 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 01:04 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/27 10:43 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/27 07:43 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/27 06:59 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/27 03:43 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/27 12:01 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/27 09:37 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/27 09:35 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/27 03:25 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/26 10:31 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/26 03:29 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/26 10:44 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/26 10:41 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/26 03:45 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/25 11:06 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/25 06:02 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 05:14 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 02:08 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/25 02:01 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 11:33 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/25 10:22 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 03/25 09:22 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/25 08:59 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 05:34 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 03:58 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 03:34 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 12:52 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 12:18 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 03/24 10:38 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/24 10:14 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
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