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Valparaiso at Charlotte
Mon Dec 16, 2019
7:00pm ET
Charlotte, NC
Valparaiso at Charlotte: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Charlotte by 3.5, Total Points: 137.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | VALP | adv | CHAR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-13-0 | 15-15-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-9-0 | 9-10-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 6-10-0 | 10-4-0 | |
| Away | 12-3-0 | 5-11-0 |
Valparaiso Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Trinity Christian | -- | W by 39 | -- |
| 11/10 | Home | IUPUI | -3.5 | L by 10 | -13.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | WI-Grn Bay | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Illinois | +29.5 | L by 23 | +6.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | W Illinois | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Southern | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Drake | +14.0 | L by 18 | -4.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Belmont | +15.5 | L by 9 | +6.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Central Mich | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | VA Tech | +21.5 | L by 21 | +0.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Chicago St | -3.0 | L by 1 | -4.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Samford | +8.5 | L by 18 | -9.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | Elon | +5.0 | L by 4 | +1.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Bradley | +10.5 | L by 25 | -14.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | IL-Chicago | +12.5 | L by 6 | +6.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | S Illinois | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
| 01/14 | Away | Illinois St | +10.0 | W by 9 | +19.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Evansville | +7.0 | L by 3 | +4.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | IL-Chicago | +3.5 | W by 7 | +10.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | S Illinois | +13.5 | L by 6 | +7.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Missouri St | +4.0 | L by 11 | -7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Drake | +19.5 | L by 11 | +8.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Evansville | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Indiana St | +20.5 | L by 40 | -19.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Belmont | +6.5 | L by 18 | -11.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | N Iowa | +7.5 | L by 19 | -11.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Missouri St | +13.0 | L by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Indiana St | +14.0 | L by 19 | -5.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Murray St | +13.0 | L by 12 | +1.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | N Iowa | +16.0 | L by 14 | +2.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | Illinois St | +5.5 | W by 3 | +8.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Belmont | +14.0 | L by 25 | -11.0 |
Charlotte Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Maine | -7.5 | W by 17 | +9.5 |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Liberty | +4.5 | L by 12 | -7.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Utah Valley | -6.0 | W by 17 | +11.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Geo Mason | +2.5 | W by 5 | +7.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | UCF | +5.0 | L by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Georgia St | -5.5 | W by 8 | +2.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Davidson | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Stetson | -8.0 | W by 23 | +15.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | Duke | +16.5 | L by 24 | -7.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | Richmond | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Greensboro | -- | W by 47 | -- |
| 12/29 | Away | Stetson | -3.5 | L by 4 | -7.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | S Methodist | +7.5 | L by 12 | -4.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Fla Atlantic | +8.0 | W by 2 | +10.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Tulsa | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | UTSA | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Rice | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | North Texas | -1.0 | W by 12 | +11.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | UAB | -4.5 | W by 6 | +1.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Tulane | +3.5 | W by 4 | +7.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | E Carolina | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | S Florida | +2.0 | L by 3 | -1.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | Temple | -6.0 | W by 3 | -3.0 |
| 02/15 | Home | UTSA | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 02/18 | Home | Wichita St | -6.0 | W by 11 | +5.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Memphis | +6.0 | L by 24 | -18.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Tulsa | -2.5 | L by 2 | -4.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | S Florida | -4.0 | L by 15 | -19.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Rice | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | E Carolina | +1.5 | W by 10 | +11.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Temple | -6.0 | L by 4 | -10.0 |
| CHAR -3.5 | Open | -3.5 | High | -4.0 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2711 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Charlotte won the game 1744 times (64.3%).
- The team like Valparaiso won the game 967 times (35.7%).
- The team like Charlotte did better against the spread, going 1357-1290-64 (51.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3954 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Charlotte did better against the spread, going 1945-1932-77 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -3.5 | -3.5 |
| Open | -4.0 | -4.0 | -4.0 |
| History | |||
| 12/16 06:51 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 05:28 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 02:15 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/16 02:05 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 12/16 12:34 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/16 12:25 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 12/16 11:24 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/16 11:15 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 12/16 10:45 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 12/16 10:44 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/16 10:41 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 10:16 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 07:46 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 06:23 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 04:31 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 02:58 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 02:35 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 12/16 02:04 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/15 10:28 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 06:07 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 05:44 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/15 05:13 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
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