NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VALP CHAR
Points 62.4 71.9
Total Points   134.3
Points From 2-Pointers 33.5 39.2
Points From 3-Pointers 19.5 18.1
Points From Free Throws 9.4 14.6
Shooting VALP CHAR
Field Goals Made 23.2 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 53.2
Field Goal % 39.7% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 44.6% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 17.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 9.4 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 13.5 19.4
Free Throw % 70.2% 75.2%
Ball Control VALP CHAR
Rebounds 31.5 36.0
Rebounds - Defensive 22.1 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 8.1
Turnovers 8.6 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.3
Steals 4.9 4.8
Fouls 14.9 12.4

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VALP CHAR
Total Possessions 66.1
Effective Scoring Chances 66.9 64.9
% of Possessions with VALP CHAR
2 Point Attempt 49.1% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.4% 23.7%
Player Fouled 18.8% 22.5%
Turnover 13.0% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken VALP CHAR
Shot Blocked 4.5% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 26.7%