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Wake Forest at Wisconsin
Tue Nov 29, 2022
9:00pm ET
Madison, WI
Wake Forest at Wisconsin: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Wisconsin by 6, Total Points: 130
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | WAKE | adv | WIS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-16-1 | 16-19-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-10-1 | 11-12-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 13-5-1 | 8-8-1 | |
| Away | 5-11-0 | 8-11-0 |
Wake Forest Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Elon | -19.5 | W by 23 | +3.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Georgia | +2.0 | L by 3 | -1.0 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Utah | +5.5 | L by 7 | -1.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Towson | -4.5 | W by 10 | +5.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | LSU | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Charl South | -23.5 | W by 15 | -8.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Florida | +5.0 | W by 11 | +16.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Rutgers | -3.5 | W by 19 | +15.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | NJIT | -26.0 | W by 24 | -2.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | Delaware St | -20.0 | W by 29 | +9.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Presbyterian | -21.5 | W by 23 | +1.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | VA Tech | -4.5 | W by 23 | +18.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Boston Col | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Miami | -4.0 | W by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | Florida St | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Virginia | -6.0 | W by 19 | +13.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | NC State | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Louisville | -16.0 | W by 25 | +9.0 |
| 01/22 | Away | N Carolina | +8.0 | L by 21 | -13.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Pittsburgh | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Syracuse | -8.5 | W by 29 | +20.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | GA Tech | -5.0 | W by 29 | +24.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | NC State | -8.0 | W by 4 | -4.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | Duke | +7.0 | L by 8 | -1.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Virginia | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Pittsburgh | -6.0 | W by 33 | +27.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Duke | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Notre Dame | -6.5 | L by 5 | -11.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | VA Tech | +1.5 | L by 11 | -9.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | GA Tech | -13.5 | L by 1 | -14.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Clemson | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Notre Dame | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Pittsburgh | -2.0 | L by 12 | -14.0 |
| 03/20 | Home | App State | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Georgia | -7.0 | L by 6 | -13.0 |
Wisconsin Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Arkansas St | -14.0 | W by 29 | +15.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Tennessee | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Providence | -1.0 | L by 13 | -14.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Rob Morris | -20.0 | W by 10 | -10.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Virginia | +3.5 | W by 24 | +27.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | S Methodist | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | W Illinois | -27.5 | W by 22 | -5.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Marquette | +3.0 | W by 11 | +14.0 |
| 12/05 | Away | Michigan St | +5.5 | W by 13 | +18.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Arizona | +9.5 | L by 25 | -15.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Jksnville St | -19.0 | W by 15 | -4.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Chicago St | -24.5 | W by 27 | +2.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Iowa | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Nebraska | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Ohio St | +3.0 | W by 11 | +14.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Northwestern | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Penn St | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 01/19 | Home | Indiana | -12.0 | W by 12 | 0.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Minnesota | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 01/26 | Home | Michigan St | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | Nebraska | (Pick) | L by 8 | -8.0 |
| 02/04 | Home | Purdue | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Michigan | -8.0 | L by 4 | -12.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Rutgers | -3.5 | L by 22 | -25.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Ohio St | -9.0 | W by 8 | -1.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Iowa | +1.0 | L by 2 | -1.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Maryland | -7.5 | W by 4 | -3.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Indiana | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Illinois | -3.0 | L by 8 | -11.0 |
| 03/07 | Home | Rutgers | -10.0 | W by 12 | +2.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Purdue | +10.0 | L by 8 | +2.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Maryland | -4.0 | W by 31 | +27.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Northwestern | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Purdue | +6.0 | W by 1 | +7.0 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Illinois | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | James Mad | -4.5 | L by 11 | -15.5 |
| WIS -6.0 | Open | -6.0 | High | -7.0 |
| Last | -5.5 | Low | -5.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2916 games where the closing line favored the home team by 5 to 7 points. In these games:
- The team like Wisconsin won the game 2067 times (70.9%).
- The team like Wake Forest won the game 849 times (29.1%).
- The team like Wisconsin did better against the spread, going 1443-1403-70 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3172 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Wake Forest did better against the spread, going 1578-1541-53 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.0 | -6.0 | -- |
| Open | -6.0 | -7.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/29 08:54 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 11/29 08:16 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 07:54 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 11/29 07:22 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 06:43 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 06:24 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 11/29 06:22 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 05:54 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 11/29 05:46 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 02:04 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 11/29 01:25 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 11:49 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 11:44 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 11/29 11:04 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 11/29 10:31 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 10:16 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 09:10 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 08:49 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 08:10 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 07:22 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 01:52 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 11:34 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 11/28 10:14 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 11/28 08:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/28 05:34 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 02:34 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
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