NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAKE WIS
Points 76.6 74.0
Total Points   150.5
Points From 2-Pointers 40.1 38.2
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 21.0
Points From Free Throws 14.5 14.8
Shooting WAKE WIS
Field Goals Made 27.4 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 53.1 56.7
Field Goal % 51.5% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 57.8% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 18.4 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 39.7% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 14.5 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 19.8
Free Throw % 79.2% 75.1%
Ball Control WAKE WIS
Rebounds 30.0 31.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 5.2 8.3
Turnovers 10.1 9.2
Blocked Shots 4.0 1.8
Steals 4.6 5.6
Fouls 16.1 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Wake Forest

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAKE WIS
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 64.1 68.2
% of Possessions with WAKE WIS
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.6% 26.0%
Player Fouled 23.6% 23.3%
Turnover 14.6% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAKE WIS
Shot Blocked 3.3% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 18.7% 25.1%