NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JAC LIB
Points 67.0 73.8
Total Points   140.8
Points From 2-Pointers 38.8 32.9
Points From 3-Pointers 16.0 29.1
Points From Free Throws 12.3 11.8
Shooting JAC LIB
Field Goals Made 24.7 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 54.5 53.5
Field Goal % 45.4% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.9 27.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.1% 59.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 16.5 25.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 12.3 11.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 18.2
Free Throw % 69.8% 64.5%
Ball Control JAC LIB
Rebounds 33.5 30.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 6.9
Turnovers 11.1 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.2
Steals 5.7 4.9
Fouls 17.5 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Liberty

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JAC LIB
Total Possessions 67.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.7 64.4
% of Possessions with JAC LIB
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 36.6%
3 Point Attempt 21.2% 34.2%
Player Fouled 21.4% 25.9%
Turnover 16.4% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken JAC LIB
Shot Blocked 4.2% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.4% 22.1%