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Oregon at Michigan
Sat Dec 14, 2019
12:00pm ET
Ann Arbor, MI
Oregon at Michigan: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Michigan by 3.5, Total Points: 138.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ORE | adv | MICH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-19-0 | 8-24-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-14-0 | 4-17-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 7-9-0 | 5-10-0 | |
| Away | 10-10-0 | 3-14-0 |
Oregon Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Neutral | Georgia | -6.5 | W by 11 | +4.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Montana | -15.5 | W by 14 | -1.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | TN State | -18.5 | W by 25 | +6.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Florida A&M | -22.0 | W by 13 | -9.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Santa Clara | -5.0 | L by 6 | -11.0 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Alabama | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Michigan | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | TX El Paso | -13.0 | W by 22 | +9.0 |
| 12/12 | Home | Cal Baptist | -12.0 | W by 21 | +9.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | Syracuse | -4.0 | L by 20 | -24.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Kent St | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 12/28 | Home | USC | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | UCLA | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 01/04 | Away | Washington | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Wash State | +1.5 | W by 5 | +6.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | California | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Colorado | +6.0 | L by 16 | -10.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Utah | +6.5 | L by 3 | +3.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Arizona St | -9.5 | W by 19 | +9.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Arizona | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | USC | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | UCLA | -2.0 | L by 8 | -10.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Washington | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Wash State | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Oregon St | -7.5 | W by 2 | -5.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Stanford | +1.5 | W by 13 | +14.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | California | -2.5 | L by 5 | -7.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Oregon St | -14.0 | W by 7 | -7.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Arizona | +13.5 | L by 20 | -6.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Colorado | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Utah | -4.5 | W by 1 | -3.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | UCLA | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Arizona | +11.5 | W by 8 | +19.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Colorado | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | S Carolina | -2.5 | W by 14 | +11.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Creighton | +4.0 | L by 13 | -9.0 |
Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | NC-Asheville | -10.5 | W by 25 | +14.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Youngs St | -16.5 | W by 30 | +13.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | St Johns | +3.0 | W by 16 | +19.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Lg Beach St | -15.0 | L by 8 | -23.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Memphis | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Stanford | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Texas Tech | -2.5 | L by 16 | -18.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Oregon | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | L by 3 | -9.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Iowa | +4.0 | W by 10 | +14.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | E Michigan | -23.5 | W by 17 | -6.5 |
| 12/19 | Neutral | Florida | +3.5 | L by 5 | -1.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | McNeese St | -10.5 | L by 11 | -21.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Minnesota | -5.5 | L by 2 | -7.5 |
| 01/07 | Neutral | Penn St | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Maryland | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Ohio St | -1.5 | W by 8 | +6.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Illinois | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Purdue | +18.0 | L by 32 | -14.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Iowa | -1.5 | L by 10 | -11.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Michigan St | +12.0 | L by 19 | -7.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Rutgers | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Wisconsin | +8.0 | W by 4 | +12.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Nebraska | +10.0 | L by 20 | -10.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Illinois | +15.5 | L by 29 | -13.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Michigan St | +6.0 | L by 10 | -4.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | Northwestern | +11.5 | L by 14 | -2.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Purdue | +13.5 | L by 8 | +5.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Rutgers | +8.0 | L by 30 | -22.0 |
| 03/03 | Away | Ohio St | +12.0 | L by 23 | -11.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Nebraska | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Penn St | +7.0 | L by 9 | -2.0 |
| MICH -3.5 | Open | -4.0 | High | -4.0 |
| Last | -3.0 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2768 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Michigan won the game 1710 times (61.8%).
- The team like Oregon won the game 1058 times (38.2%).
- The team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 1387-1339-42 (50.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1649 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 811-803-35 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -3.5 | -3.5 |
| Open | -3.5 | -3.5 | -3.5 |
| History | |||
| 12/14 11:59 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 11:45 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 12/14 11:39 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 11:25 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/14 11:25 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 12/14 10:55 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 12/14 10:54 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/14 10:40 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 09:54 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/14 09:45 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 12/14 09:44 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 09:05 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 12/14 08:25 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 12/14 07:05 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 03:03 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 03:00 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/13 11:25 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 12/13 08:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
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