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NC Central at Louisville
Sun Nov 17, 2019
5:00pm ET
Louisville, KY
NC Central at Louisville: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Louisville by 32.5, Total Points: 139.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NCCU | adv | LOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-10-0 | 13-18-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-6-0 | 9-11-1 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 7-2-0 | 5-12-1 | |
| Away | 10-8-0 | 8-6-0 |
NC Central Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Kansas | +30.5 | L by 43 | -12.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | Virginia-Lynchburg | -- | W by 53 | -- |
| 11/12 | Away | Georgia | +21.5 | L by 10 | +11.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Mid-Atlantic Christian | -- | W by 63 | -- |
| 11/18 | Away | Longwood | +10.5 | L by 7 | +3.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Campbell | +3.5 | W by 3 | +6.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Citadel | +1.0 | L by 6 | -5.0 |
| 11/26 | Away | Coastal Car | +4.0 | W by 12 | +16.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | SC Upstate | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 12/05 | Away | Virginia | +24.5 | L by 30 | -5.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Radford | +10.5 | L by 8 | +2.5 |
| 12/12 | Away | NC A&T | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 12/15 | Home | St. Andrews Presbyterian | -- | W by 52 | -- |
| 12/20 | Home | Longwood | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Truett-McConnell | -- | W by 42 | -- |
| 01/06 | Home | Howard | -2.5 | W by 19 | +16.5 |
| 01/08 | Home | Norfolk St | -1.5 | W by 2 | +0.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | S Car State | -3.5 | L by 3 | -6.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Maryland ES | -5.0 | W by 8 | +3.0 |
| 01/29 | Away | Delaware St | -1.5 | W by 3 | +1.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Coppin St | -11.5 | W by 31 | +19.5 |
| 02/05 | Home | Morgan St | -8.5 | L by 7 | -15.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Howard | +4.0 | L by 8 | -4.0 |
| 02/19 | Away | Norfolk St | +7.0 | L by 6 | +1.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Maryland ES | -9.0 | W by 33 | +24.0 |
| 02/26 | Home | Delaware St | -6.0 | W by 12 | +6.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Coppin St | -8.0 | W by 25 | +17.0 |
| 03/04 | Away | Morgan St | -8.5 | L by 9 | -17.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | S Car State | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Maryland ES | -9.0 | W by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Delaware St | -4.5 | L by 13 | -17.5 |
Louisville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Maryland BC | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Chattanooga | -4.0 | L by 10 | -14.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Coppin St | -17.5 | W by 20 | +2.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Texas | +17.5 | L by 1 | +16.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Indiana | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | N Mex State | -8.5 | W by 6 | -2.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Bellarmine | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 12/03 | Away | VA Tech | +14.0 | L by 7 | +7.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | DePaul | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Arkansas St | -3.5 | L by 12 | -15.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Pepperdine | -1.0 | W by 22 | +21.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Kentucky | +14.0 | L by 19 | -5.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Virginia | +15.5 | L by 24 | -8.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Pittsburgh | +8.5 | L by 13 | -4.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Miami | +16.5 | W by 9 | +25.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | NC State | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | N Carolina | +21.0 | L by 16 | +5.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Wake Forest | +16.0 | L by 25 | -9.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Duke | +14.0 | L by 14 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Virginia | +9.0 | L by 17 | -8.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Clemson | +16.0 | L by 6 | +10.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Florida St | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Syracuse | +8.5 | L by 2 | +6.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | GA Tech | -1.0 | W by 12 | +11.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Boston Col | +9.5 | L by 12 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Pittsburgh | +12.5 | L by 27 | -14.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | Notre Dame | -3.0 | L by 22 | -25.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Duke | +20.5 | L by 25 | -4.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Syracuse | +5.0 | L by 6 | -1.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | VA Tech | +7.5 | L by 16 | -8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Boston Col | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | NC State | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
| LOU -32.5 | Open | -30.0 | High | -32.5 |
| Last | -31.5 | Low | -30.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 28 games where the closing line favored the home team by 33 to 35 points. In these games:
- The team like Louisville won the game 28 times (100.0%).
- The team like North Carolina Central won the game 0 times (0.0%).
- The team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 18-10 (64.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 4.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 39 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 4 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like North Carolina Central did better against the spread, going 20-18-1 (52.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -34.0 | -33.5 | -- |
| Open | -32.5 | -32.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/17 04:58 PM | -34.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/17 04:44 PM | -- | -33.5 | -- |
| 11/17 02:52 PM | -33.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/17 01:44 PM | -- | -33.0 | -- |
| 11/17 12:38 PM | -32.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/17 10:04 AM | -- | -32.5 | -- |
| 11/17 08:24 AM | -- | -32.5 | -- |
| 11/17 08:15 AM | -32.5 | -- | -- |
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