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Morehead St at Illinois St
Sat Dec 7, 2019
7:00pm ET
Normal, IL
Morehead St at Illinois St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Illinois St. by 6, Total Points: 138.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MORE | adv | ILST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-12-0 | 14-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-8-0 | 10-11-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 8-3-0 | 7-8-0 | |
| Away | 11-9-0 | 7-9-0 |
Morehead St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Alabama | +22.0 | L by 32 | -10.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Shawnee State | -- | W by 56 | -- |
| 11/10 | Away | Purdue | +29.5 | L by 30 | -0.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Mercer | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Penn St | +13.0 | L by 23 | -10.0 |
| 11/20 | Away | Bellarmine | +4.5 | W by 13 | +17.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Midway | -- | W by 41 | -- |
| 11/29 | Away | Austin Peay | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Chattanooga | -1.5 | W by 7 | +5.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | N Alabama | +2.0 | W by 9 | +11.0 |
| 12/14 | Home | Saint Mary-Of-The-Woods | -- | W by 69 | -- |
| 12/19 | Away | Indiana | +11.0 | L by 1 | +10.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Alice Lloyd | -- | W by 62 | -- |
| 12/31 | Away | SE Missouri | -8.5 | W by 19 | +10.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | TN Tech | -11.0 | W by 25 | +14.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | TN State | -8.5 | W by 10 | +1.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | E Illinois | -7.5 | W by 26 | +18.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | SIU Edward | -5.0 | L by 13 | -18.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | TN Martin | -8.5 | W by 18 | +9.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | S Indiana | -9.5 | W by 11 | +1.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | W Illinois | -11.0 | W by 14 | +3.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | TN State | -5.0 | W by 19 | +14.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | TN Tech | -11.0 | W by 7 | -4.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | SIU Edward | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | E Illinois | -16.0 | W by 12 | -4.0 |
| 02/15 | Away | AR Lit Rock | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | TN Martin | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | S Indiana | -15.5 | L by 7 | -22.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | W Illinois | -5.0 | W by 21 | +16.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | SE Missouri | -18.0 | W by 22 | +4.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Lindenwood | -21.0 | W by 18 | -3.0 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | SIU Edward | -10.0 | W by 15 | +5.0 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | TN Martin | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | AR Lit Rock | -4.5 | W by 14 | +9.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Illinois | +11.0 | L by 16 | -5.0 |
Illinois St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Lourdes | -- | W by 19 | -- |
| 11/11 | Away | Saint Louis | +8.5 | L by 9 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | E Illinois | -13.0 | W by 8 | -5.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Lg Beach St | +6.5 | W by 9 | +15.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | High Point | -1.5 | L by 2 | -3.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Wright St | +2.5 | L by 25 | -22.5 |
| 11/30 | Away | IL-Chicago | +5.5 | W by 5 | +10.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Murray St | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | N Kentucky | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Norfolk St | -6.0 | L by 6 | -12.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | N Dakota St | -3.5 | W by 10 | +6.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | SE Missouri | -14.0 | W by 21 | +7.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Kentucky | +20.0 | L by 26 | -6.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Drake | +12.5 | L by 17 | -4.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | S Illinois | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Belmont | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Valparaiso | -10.0 | L by 9 | -19.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Drake | +7.5 | L by 21 | -13.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Missouri St | +6.5 | W by 9 | +15.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Belmont | -1.5 | W by 10 | +8.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Evansville | -2.0 | L by 4 | -6.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Murray St | +7.0 | W by 2 | +9.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Bradley | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | IL-Chicago | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | S Illinois | +8.0 | L by 3 | +5.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Indiana St | +17.5 | W by 13 | +30.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | Evansville | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | N Iowa | +1.5 | W by 8 | +9.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Bradley | +12.5 | L by 3 | +9.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Missouri St | -4.5 | W by 1 | -3.5 |
| 03/03 | Away | Valparaiso | -5.5 | L by 3 | -8.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Evansville | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| ILST -6.0 | Open | -7.5 | High | -7.5 |
| Last | -6.5 | Low | -6.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2617 games where the closing line favored the home team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Illinois St. won the game 1905 times (72.8%).
- The team like Morehead St. won the game 712 times (27.2%).
- The team like Illinois St. did better against the spread, going 1305-1268-44 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2723 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Illinois St. did better against the spread, going 1376-1296-51 (51.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.5 | -6.0 | -6.0 |
| Open | -7.0 | -7.0 | -7.0 |
| History | |||
| 12/07 06:48 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 05:42 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 04:55 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 12/07 04:37 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 12/07 04:15 PM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 12/07 04:12 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 01:56 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 09:54 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 12/07 09:35 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 09:35 AM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 12/07 09:30 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 09:25 AM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 12/07 03:44 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 10:45 PM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 12/06 10:39 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 06:34 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/06 06:23 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
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