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Air Force at Fresno St
Wed Feb 19, 2020
10:00pm ET
Fresno, CA
Air Force at Fresno St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Fresno St. by 8, Total Points: 142.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | AFA | adv | FRES |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-21-0 | 15-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-13-0 | 11-9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 3-13-0 | 8-7-0 | |
| Away | 7-8-0 | 7-10-0 |
Air Force Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Portland St | -6.0 | L by 7 | -13.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | LIU | -9.5 | W by 15 | +5.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Delaware | +6.5 | L by 8 | -1.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | Lindenwood | -16.0 | W by 18 | +2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Wm & Mary | -8.0 | W by 9 | +1.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Neb Omaha | -8.5 | W by 2 | -6.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | VMI | -13.5 | W by 10 | -3.5 |
| 11/26 | Away | South Dakota | -3.0 | W by 1 | -2.0 |
| 12/03 | Away | Portland | +4.5 | W by 22 | +26.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | E Washingtn | -7.0 | L by 5 | -12.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | TX-Arlington | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | N Colorado | -7.5 | L by 4 | -11.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Utah St | +6.5 | L by 28 | -21.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Nevada | +14.0 | L by 13 | +1.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | San Jose St | -1.5 | L by 3 | -4.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Colorado St | +15.5 | L by 9 | +6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | New Mexico | +10.5 | L by 19 | -8.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | UNLV | +10.5 | W by 32 | +42.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Fresno St | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Wyoming | -4.5 | L by 11 | -15.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Boise St | +12.0 | L by 38 | -26.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | San Diego St | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Fresno St | -2.0 | L by 2 | -4.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | San Jose St | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | UNLV | +6.5 | L by 29 | -22.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | New Mexico | +18.5 | W by 1 | +19.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Boise St | +11.5 | L by 31 | -19.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Utah St | +17.5 | L by 12 | +5.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Wyoming | +6.5 | L by 11 | -4.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Colorado St | +11.0 | L by 9 | +2.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | New Mexico | +14.5 | L by 26 | -11.5 |
Fresno St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Fresno Pacific | -- | W by 11 | -- |
| 11/11 | Away | Kent St | +4.0 | L by 10 | -6.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Morgan St | -18.5 | W by 19 | +0.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | N Mex State | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | James Mad | +4.5 | L by 31 | -26.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | UCSB | -1.5 | L by 4 | -5.5 |
| 12/01 | Neutral | BYU | +14.5 | L by 29 | -14.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Idaho St | -9.0 | W by 12 | +3.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Pacific | -13.0 | W by 33 | +20.0 |
| 12/15 | Home | CS Bakersfld | -9.5 | W by 3 | -6.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Portland St | -3.5 | L by 3 | -6.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | San Francisco | +11.0 | L by 20 | -9.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | San Diego | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | San Diego St | +15.5 | L by 27 | -11.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Nevada | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Wyoming | +3.5 | L by 1 | +2.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | San Jose St | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Utah St | +13.0 | L by 21 | -8.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Boise St | +5.5 | L by 4 | +1.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Air Force | -4.0 | W by 14 | +10.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | UNLV | +8.0 | L by 9 | -1.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Colorado St | +6.5 | L by 12 | -5.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | San Jose St | +2.0 | W by 12 | +14.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Air Force | +2.0 | W by 2 | +4.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | UNLV | +4.5 | L by 2 | +2.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Boise St | +16.0 | L by 24 | -8.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | San Diego St | +12.5 | L by 32 | -19.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Utah St | +10.5 | L by 4 | +6.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Nevada | +14.0 | L by 8 | +6.0 |
| 03/06 | Away | New Mexico | +17.5 | L by 21 | -3.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Wyoming | -1.5 | L by 39 | -40.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Wyoming | +5.0 | W by 4 | +9.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Utah St | +12.5 | L by 12 | +0.5 |
| FRES -8.0 | Open | -7.5 | High | -8.5 |
| Last | -8.5 | Low | -7.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2653 games where the closing line favored the home team by 7 to 9 points. In these games:
- The team like Fresno St. won the game 2069 times (78.0%).
- The team like Air Force won the game 584 times (22.0%).
- The team like Fresno St. did better against the spread, going 1303-1285-65 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4794 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Fresno St. did better against the spread, going 2368-2329-97 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -8.0 | -- | -8.0 |
| Open | -7.5 | -- | -7.5 |
| History | |||
| 02/19 09:59 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/19 07:25 PM | -- | -- | -8.0 |
| 02/19 07:23 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/19 06:25 PM | -- | -- | -8.0 |
| 02/19 06:23 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/19 05:18 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/19 04:26 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/19 04:10 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/19 01:56 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/19 01:05 PM | -- | -- | -8.0 |
| 02/19 11:56 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/19 11:45 AM | -- | -- | -8.5 |
| 02/19 09:05 AM | -- | -- | -8.5 |
| 02/19 09:00 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/19 07:36 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/19 04:34 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/19 12:34 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 10:45 PM | -- | -- | -7.5 |
| 02/18 06:58 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
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