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Bowling Grn at Buffalo
Fri Jan 15, 2021
7:00pm ET
Buffalo, NY
Bowling Grn at Buffalo: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Buffalo by 5, Total Points: 163
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BGSU | adv | BUFF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-16-0 | 12-18-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-9-0 | 7-11-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 7-8-0 | 3-11-0 | |
| Away | 9-8-0 | 9-7-0 |
Bowling Grn Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Chicago St | -7.0 | W by 29 | +22.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Arkansas St | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Oakland | +2.5 | L by 19 | -16.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Bellarmine | -3.5 | L by 18 | -21.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | W Kentucky | +4.5 | L by 7 | -2.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Lipscomb | +3.5 | W by 21 | +24.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Canisius | -2.0 | W by 4 | +2.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | S Indiana | -5.5 | W by 2 | -3.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Ohio Dominican | -- | W by 48 | -- |
| 12/16 | Home | Kansas City | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | Hampton | -12.0 | W by 10 | -2.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Siena Heights | -- | W by 21 | -- |
| 01/02 | Home | E Michigan | -10.0 | W by 2 | -8.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Akron | +9.5 | L by 16 | -6.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Ohio | +1.0 | W by 5 | +6.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | N Illinois | -1.0 | W by 11 | +10.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Miami (OH) | -1.0 | W by 5 | +4.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | W Michigan | -9.0 | W by 5 | -4.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Kent St | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Toledo | +6.5 | L by 16 | -9.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Ball St | +2.5 | W by 9 | +11.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Central Mich | -9.0 | L by 1 | -10.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Buffalo | -12.5 | W by 14 | +1.5 |
| 02/11 | Away | Louisiana | +7.5 | L by 26 | -18.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | E Michigan | -6.0 | L by 9 | -15.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Central Mich | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Toledo | +4.0 | W by 8 | +12.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | Miami (OH) | -3.5 | L by 8 | -11.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Ohio | +8.5 | L by 7 | +1.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | W Michigan | +2.0 | W by 8 | +10.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Ball St | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Central Mich | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Kent St | +1.5 | L by 13 | -11.5 |
| 03/20 | Home | IPFW | +1.5 | L by 2 | -0.5 |
Buffalo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | F Dickinson | -6.0 | L by 6 | -12.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | S Alabama | +1.0 | L by 14 | -13.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Roberts Wesleyan | -- | W by 6 | -- |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Hofstra | +9.5 | L by 34 | -24.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Louisiana | +9.5 | L by 8 | +1.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Iona | +6.5 | L by 25 | -18.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | James Mad | +23.5 | L by 15 | +8.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | St Bonavent | +9.5 | L by 15 | -5.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Butler | +24.5 | L by 13 | +11.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | W Kentucky | +7.0 | L by 17 | -10.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Richmond | +15.5 | L by 6 | +9.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Niagara | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Central Mich | +2.0 | W by 12 | +14.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | W Michigan | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Miami (OH) | -2.0 | L by 21 | -23.0 |
| 01/12 | Away | Akron | +16.0 | L by 17 | -1.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Toledo | +15.0 | L by 11 | +4.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Ball St | +1.5 | L by 28 | -26.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | E Michigan | +3.5 | L by 10 | -6.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Ohio | +13.5 | L by 21 | -7.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | Kent St | +8.0 | L by 31 | -23.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Bowling Grn | +12.5 | L by 14 | -1.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | GA Southern | +9.0 | W by 1 | +10.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | N Illinois | +9.0 | L by 4 | +5.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Akron | +13.5 | L by 11 | +2.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | E Michigan | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | W Michigan | +6.0 | L by 19 | -13.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Kent St | +14.5 | L by 12 | +2.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Toledo | +10.5 | L by 6 | +4.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Ohio | +11.5 | L by 12 | -0.5 |
| 03/08 | Home | N Illinois | +1.5 | L by 10 | -8.5 |
| BUFF -5.0 | Open | -4.5 | High | -5.0 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3008 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Buffalo won the game 1994 times (66.3%).
- The team like Bowling Green won the game 1014 times (33.7%).
- The team like Buffalo did better against the spread, going 1518-1437-53 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 80 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Buffalo did better against the spread, going 44-36 (55.0% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.0 | -5.0 | -5.0 |
| Open | -4.5 | -4.5 | -4.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/15 06:59 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 06:02 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 05:20 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 04:14 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 02:55 PM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 01/15 02:50 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 02:44 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/15 02:05 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 11:05 AM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 01/15 10:59 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 10:44 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/15 10:05 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 09:44 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 01/15 09:35 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 01/15 09:11 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 06:32 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 03:13 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 02:11 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 01:14 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 01/14 10:35 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 01/14 07:41 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 06:59 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 06:34 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
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