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Bowling Grn at Toledo
Sat Jan 25, 2020
7:00pm ET
Toledo, OH
Bowling Grn at Toledo: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Toledo by 5, Total Points: 147.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BGSU | adv | TOL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-16-0 | 15-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-9-0 | 8-11-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 7-8-0 | 7-8-0 | |
| Away | 9-8-0 | 8-9-0 |
Bowling Grn Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Chicago St | -7.0 | W by 29 | +22.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Arkansas St | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Oakland | +2.5 | L by 19 | -16.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Bellarmine | -3.5 | L by 18 | -21.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | W Kentucky | +4.5 | L by 7 | -2.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Lipscomb | +3.5 | W by 21 | +24.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Canisius | -2.0 | W by 4 | +2.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | S Indiana | -5.5 | W by 2 | -3.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Ohio Dominican | -- | W by 48 | -- |
| 12/16 | Home | Kansas City | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | Hampton | -12.0 | W by 10 | -2.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Siena Heights | -- | W by 21 | -- |
| 01/02 | Home | E Michigan | -10.0 | W by 2 | -8.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Akron | +9.5 | L by 16 | -6.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Ohio | +1.0 | W by 5 | +6.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | N Illinois | -1.0 | W by 11 | +10.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Miami (OH) | -1.0 | W by 5 | +4.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | W Michigan | -9.0 | W by 5 | -4.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Kent St | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Toledo | +6.5 | L by 16 | -9.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Ball St | +2.5 | W by 9 | +11.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Central Mich | -9.0 | L by 1 | -10.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Buffalo | -12.5 | W by 14 | +1.5 |
| 02/11 | Away | Louisiana | +7.5 | L by 26 | -18.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | E Michigan | -6.0 | L by 9 | -15.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Central Mich | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Toledo | +4.0 | W by 8 | +12.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | Miami (OH) | -3.5 | L by 8 | -11.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Ohio | +8.5 | L by 7 | +1.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | W Michigan | +2.0 | W by 8 | +10.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Ball St | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Central Mich | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Kent St | +1.5 | L by 13 | -11.5 |
| 03/20 | Home | IPFW | +1.5 | L by 2 | -0.5 |
Toledo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Detroit | -15.5 | W by 34 | +18.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Louisiana | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Wright St | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | New Mexico | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | UC Irvine | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Indiana St | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Geo Mason | -4.5 | L by 9 | -13.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Oakland | +1.0 | W by 1 | +2.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | N Iowa | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Marshall | -8.0 | W by 1 | -7.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Vermont | -6.5 | L by 26 | -32.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | W Virginia | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Ohio | +2.0 | W by 9 | +11.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Miami (OH) | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Kent St | +4.0 | W by 14 | +18.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Ball St | -11.0 | W by 5 | -6.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Buffalo | -15.0 | W by 11 | -4.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | Central Mich | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | N Illinois | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Bowling Grn | -6.5 | W by 16 | +9.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | W Michigan | -11.5 | W by 25 | +13.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Akron | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | E Michigan | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | App State | +6.5 | L by 5 | +1.5 |
| 02/16 | Home | Ohio | -5.5 | W by 2 | -3.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Akron | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Bowling Grn | -4.0 | L by 8 | -12.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | N Illinois | -15.5 | L by 3 | -18.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Buffalo | -10.5 | W by 6 | -4.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Miami (OH) | -2.0 | W by 34 | +32.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Kent St | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Kent St | -5.0 | L by 8 | -13.0 |
| TOL -5.0 | Open | -4.5 | High | -6.0 |
| Last | -5.5 | Low | -4.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3005 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Toledo won the game 1987 times (66.1%).
- The team like Bowling Green won the game 1018 times (33.9%).
- The team like Toledo did better against the spread, going 1516-1441-48 (51.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3226 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Bowling Green did better against the spread, going 1586-1580-60 (50.1% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -5.0 | -5.0 |
| Open | -6.0 | -6.0 | -5.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/25 07:04 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/25 06:15 PM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 01/25 06:13 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 02:30 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 12:34 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 01/25 12:15 AM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 01/25 12:14 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 08:59 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 07:24 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 01/24 07:14 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
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