NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BGSU TOL
Points 77.2 82.2
Total Points   159.4
Points From 2-Pointers 46.6 48.0
Points From 3-Pointers 17.8 19.8
Points From Free Throws 12.9 14.5
Shooting BGSU TOL
Field Goals Made 29.2 30.6
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 59.7
Field Goal % 48.8% 51.2%
2 Pointers Made 23.3 24.0
2 Pointers Attempted 40.1 43.8
2 Point Shooting % 58.0% 54.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 15.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.0% 41.3%
Free Throws Made 12.9 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 19.5
Free Throw % 72.7% 74.2%
Ball Control BGSU TOL
Rebounds 33.8 31.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 7.6
Turnovers 11.1 9.2
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.2
Steals 5.4 6.2
Fouls 15.6 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Bowling Grn

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BGSU TOL
Total Possessions 72.7
Effective Scoring Chances 71.1 71.1
% of Possessions with BGSU TOL
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 53.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 19.5%
Player Fouled 19.3% 21.4%
Turnover 15.3% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken BGSU TOL
Shot Blocked 3.8% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.7% 23.8%