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Air Force at Nevada
Fri Feb 3, 2023
11:00pm ET
Reno, NV
Air Force at Nevada: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Nevada by 11, Total Points: 133.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | AFA | adv | NEV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-21-0 | 21-12-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-13-0 | 11-8-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 3-13-0 | 10-6-0 | |
| Away | 7-8-0 | 11-6-0 |
Air Force Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Portland St | -6.0 | L by 7 | -13.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | LIU | -9.5 | W by 15 | +5.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Delaware | +6.5 | L by 8 | -1.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | Lindenwood | -16.0 | W by 18 | +2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Wm & Mary | -8.0 | W by 9 | +1.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Neb Omaha | -8.5 | W by 2 | -6.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | VMI | -13.5 | W by 10 | -3.5 |
| 11/26 | Away | South Dakota | -3.0 | W by 1 | -2.0 |
| 12/03 | Away | Portland | +4.5 | W by 22 | +26.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | E Washingtn | -7.0 | L by 5 | -12.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | TX-Arlington | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | N Colorado | -7.5 | L by 4 | -11.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Utah St | +6.5 | L by 28 | -21.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Nevada | +14.0 | L by 13 | +1.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | San Jose St | -1.5 | L by 3 | -4.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Colorado St | +15.5 | L by 9 | +6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | New Mexico | +10.5 | L by 19 | -8.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | UNLV | +10.5 | W by 32 | +42.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Fresno St | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Wyoming | -4.5 | L by 11 | -15.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Boise St | +12.0 | L by 38 | -26.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | San Diego St | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Fresno St | -2.0 | L by 2 | -4.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | San Jose St | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | UNLV | +6.5 | L by 29 | -22.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | New Mexico | +18.5 | W by 1 | +19.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Boise St | +11.5 | L by 31 | -19.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Utah St | +17.5 | L by 12 | +5.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Wyoming | +6.5 | L by 11 | -4.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Colorado St | +11.0 | L by 9 | +2.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | New Mexico | +14.5 | L by 26 | -11.5 |
Nevada Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | Sac State | -13.5 | W by 14 | +0.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Washington | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Pacific | -13.0 | W by 49 | +36.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Portland | -13.5 | W by 25 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Montana | -14.5 | W by 11 | -3.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Loyola Mymt | -8.5 | W by 14 | +5.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | UC Davis | -14.0 | W by 12 | -2.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Drake | -4.5 | L by 19 | -23.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Weber St | -9.0 | W by 17 | +8.0 |
| 12/17 | Away | Hawaii | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 12/21 | Neutral | Temple | -8.5 | W by 24 | +15.5 |
| 12/22 | Neutral | TX Christian | +3.0 | W by 13 | +16.0 |
| 12/24 | Neutral | GA Tech | -6.0 | W by 8 | +2.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Fresno Pacific | -- | W by 33 | -- |
| 01/06 | Away | Fresno St | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Air Force | -14.0 | W by 13 | -1.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | Boise St | -6.5 | L by 8 | -14.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | San Diego St | +6.5 | L by 12 | -5.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Wyoming | -7.0 | L by 5 | -12.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Colorado St | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 01/28 | Away | New Mexico | +8.5 | L by 34 | -25.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | San Jose St | -11.5 | W by 30 | +18.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Utah St | +5.5 | W by 14 | +19.5 |
| 02/09 | Home | San Diego St | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | New Mexico | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | UNLV | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Wyoming | -14.0 | W by 18 | +4.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | San Jose St | -10.5 | W by 21 | +10.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Colorado St | +6.5 | W by 3 | +9.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Fresno St | -14.0 | W by 8 | -6.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Boise St | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | UNLV | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Colorado St | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Dayton | -1.5 | L by 3 | -4.5 |
| NEV -11.0 | Open | -12.0 | High | -12.0 |
| Last | -11.5 | Low | -10.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1924 games where the closing line favored the home team by 10 to 12 points. In these games:
- The team like Nevada won the game 1645 times (85.5%).
- The team like Air Force won the game 279 times (14.5%).
- The team like Air Force did better against the spread, going 967-920-37 (51.2% ATS).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3454 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Nevada did better against the spread, going 1706-1676-72 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -11.0 | -11.0 | -- |
| Open | -11.5 | -12.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/03 10:03 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 02/03 08:33 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 02/03 07:53 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 02/03 06:07 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 05:44 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 02/03 05:14 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 02/03 05:13 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 04:19 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 02:54 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 02/03 01:13 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 12:24 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 02/03 12:16 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 12:04 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 02/03 10:04 AM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 02/03 08:04 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 01:34 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/02 11:43 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 02/02 10:13 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 02/02 08:34 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 02/02 05:25 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
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