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North Dakota at South Dakota
Sat Feb 4, 2023
2:00pm ET
Vermillion, SD
North Dakota at South Dakota: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: South Dakota by 6.5, Total Points: 142.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UND | adv | SDAK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 14-15-0 | 14-15-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-8-0 | 9-8-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 5-6-0 | 6-5-0 | |
| Away | 9-9-0 | 8-10-0 |
North Dakota Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Away | Iowa | +20.5 | L by 42 | -21.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | Elon | -5.0 | W by 17 | +12.0 |
| 11/16 | Home | Valley City State | -- | W by 30 | -- |
| 11/20 | Away | Pacific | +4.0 | W by 2 | +6.0 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | New Orleans | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | E Michigan | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Concordia (MN) | -- | W by 31 | -- |
| 12/01 | Away | CS Fullerton | +5.5 | L by 10 | -4.5 |
| 12/03 | Away | UC Riverside | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Portland | +1.0 | L by 11 | -10.0 |
| 12/12 | Home | Waldorf | -- | W by 51 | -- |
| 12/16 | Away | Utah Tech | +4.5 | W by 17 | +21.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Nebraska | +17.0 | L by 8 | +9.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | St. Thomas | -2.5 | L by 25 | -27.5 |
| 12/31 | Away | S Dakota St | +9.5 | L by 19 | -9.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | N Colorado | -2.0 | L by 10 | -12.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | N Arizona | +2.0 | L by 1 | +1.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Neb Omaha | +3.0 | L by 18 | -15.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Kansas City | +4.0 | W by 13 | +17.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | Oral Roberts | +1.5 | W by 10 | +11.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Denver | -1.5 | W by 14 | +12.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | St. Thomas | +8.5 | W by 10 | +18.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | South Dakota | -2.5 | W by 14 | +11.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | N Dakota St | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Neb Omaha | -4.0 | W by 21 | +17.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Kansas City | -6.5 | L by 18 | -24.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Denver | +4.5 | W by 14 | +18.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Oral Roberts | +2.5 | W by 13 | +15.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | N Dakota St | +2.0 | L by 5 | -3.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | S Dakota St | +1.0 | L by 10 | -9.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | South Dakota | -9.0 | W by 29 | +20.0 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Neb Omaha | -2.0 | L by 1 | -3.0 |
South Dakota Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Mount Marty | -- | W by 32 | -- |
| 11/10 | Neutral | TX-Pan Am | -1.0 | W by 21 | +20.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | DePaul | +8.5 | L by 12 | -3.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | VMI | -7.0 | W by 4 | -3.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | IPFW | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Northland | -- | W by 52 | -- |
| 11/26 | Home | Air Force | +3.0 | L by 1 | +2.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Waldorf | -- | W by 22 | -- |
| 12/03 | Away | W Illinois | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | CS Bakersfld | -1.5 | W by 5 | +3.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | UC Irvine | +15.5 | L by 43 | -27.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | CS Bakersfld | +4.5 | L by 20 | -15.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | San Diego | +8.5 | L by 3 | +5.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | N Dakota St | +7.0 | W by 9 | +16.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Neb Omaha | -3.5 | L by 16 | -19.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | E Washingtn | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Montana | +12.5 | L by 19 | -6.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | Oral Roberts | +9.0 | L by 18 | -9.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | St. Thomas | +6.0 | W by 1 | +7.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | S Dakota St | +8.0 | L by 18 | -10.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | Denver | +8.5 | L by 1 | +7.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Kansas City | +6.5 | L by 24 | -17.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | North Dakota | +2.5 | L by 14 | -11.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | S Dakota St | +15.5 | L by 3 | +12.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | Denver | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 02/15 | Away | Neb Omaha | +8.5 | L by 7 | +1.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | St. Thomas | +14.0 | L by 3 | +11.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Kansas City | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Oral Roberts | +2.0 | W by 1 | +3.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | N Dakota St | +3.5 | W by 20 | +23.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | North Dakota | +9.0 | L by 29 | -20.0 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | Oral Roberts | +5.0 | L by 15 | -10.0 |
| SDAK -6.5 | Open | -5.0 | High | -6.5 |
| Last | -6.0 | Low | -5.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3270 games where the closing line favored the home team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:
- The team like South Dakota won the game 2361 times (72.2%).
- The team like North Dakota won the game 909 times (27.8%).
- The team like South Dakota did better against the spread, going 1606-1606-58 (50.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1986 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like South Dakota did better against the spread, going 1009-939-38 (51.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.5 | -6.0 | -- |
| Open | -5.0 | -5.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/04 01:50 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 12:41 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 12:11 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 10:50 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 09:14 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 02/04 09:02 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 08:34 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 02/04 08:05 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 05:34 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 02:04 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 02/04 01:40 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 11:54 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 02/03 09:28 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 09:16 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 08:07 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 07:04 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 07:04 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
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