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Illinois at Penn St
Tue Feb 18, 2020
6:30pm ET
University Park, PA
Illinois at Penn St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Penn St. by 5.5, Total Points: 142.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ILL | adv | PSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-14-3 | 17-14-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-9-1 | 14-6-2 | |
| Streak | L1 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-0-2 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 6-2-2 | |
| Home | 7-9-2 | 9-7-0 | |
| Away | 14-5-1 | 8-7-2 |
Illinois Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | E Illinois | -29.5 | W by 28 | -1.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Oakland | -24.5 | W by 11 | -13.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Marquette | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Valparaiso | -29.5 | W by 23 | -6.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Southern | -25.0 | W by 28 | +3.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | W Illinois | -27.0 | W by 32 | +5.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Rutgers | +1.5 | W by 18 | +19.5 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | +2.5 | W by 9 | +11.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Tennessee | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | Colgate | -17.0 | W by 17 | 0.0 |
| 12/22 | Neutral | Missouri | -6.5 | W by 24 | +17.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | F Dickinson | -25.5 | W by 33 | +7.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Northwestern | -5.5 | W by 30 | +24.5 |
| 01/05 | Away | Purdue | +10.5 | L by 5 | +5.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | Michigan St | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Maryland | -9.0 | L by 9 | -18.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Michigan | -2.5 | W by 15 | +12.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Rutgers | -11.0 | W by 23 | +12.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Northwestern | -4.0 | L by 5 | -9.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Indiana | -15.0 | W by 8 | -7.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 02/04 | Home | Nebraska | -10.0 | W by 3 | -7.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Michigan St | +3.5 | L by 8 | -4.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Michigan | -15.5 | W by 29 | +13.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Maryland | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Penn St | -7.5 | L by 1 | -8.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Iowa | -9.5 | W by 10 | +0.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Minnesota | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Wisconsin | +3.0 | W by 8 | +11.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Purdue | -2.5 | L by 6 | -8.5 |
| 03/10 | Away | Iowa | -2.0 | W by 12 | +10.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Ohio St | -5.0 | W by 3 | -2.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Nebraska | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Morehead St | -11.0 | W by 16 | +5.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Duquesne | -10.0 | W by 26 | +16.0 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Iowa St | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Connecticut | +8.0 | L by 25 | -17.0 |
Penn St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Delaware St | -19.5 | W by 34 | +14.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Lehigh | -17.5 | W by 9 | -8.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | St Fran (PA) | -30.5 | W by 30 | -0.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Morehead St | -13.0 | W by 23 | +10.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Texas A&M | +8.0 | L by 12 | -4.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Butler | (Pick) | L by 10 | -10.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | VCU | -2.5 | L by 12 | -14.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Bucknell | -21.5 | L by 9 | -30.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Maryland | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Ohio St | +5.0 | W by 3 | +8.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | GA Tech | -3.5 | L by 1 | -4.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Le Moyne | -21.5 | W by 17 | -4.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Rider | -13.5 | W by 27 | +13.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | Michigan St | +13.5 | L by 31 | -17.5 |
| 01/07 | Neutral | Michigan | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Northwestern | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Purdue | +18.0 | L by 17 | +1.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Wisconsin | +5.5 | W by 4 | +9.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Ohio St | +9.5 | L by 12 | -2.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Minnesota | -2.5 | L by 9 | -11.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Rutgers | +7.5 | W by 15 | +22.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Indiana | +7.0 | W by 14 | +21.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Iowa | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | Northwestern | +7.5 | L by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Michigan St | +3.0 | L by 8 | -5.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Nebraska | +8.0 | L by 19 | -11.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Illinois | +7.5 | W by 1 | +8.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Indiana | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Iowa | +9.0 | L by 9 | 0.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Minnesota | +7.0 | L by 5 | +2.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Maryland | +1.5 | W by 16 | +17.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Michigan | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Indiana | +2.0 | L by 2 | 0.0 |
| PSU -5.5 | Open | -7.0 | High | -7.0 |
| Last | -6.0 | Low | -5.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3151 games where the closing line favored the home team by 4.5 to 6.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Penn St. won the game 2192 times (69.6%).
- The team like Illinois won the game 959 times (30.4%).
- The team like Penn St. did better against the spread, going 1574-1520-57 (50.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1940 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Penn St. did better against the spread, going 950-948-42 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.5 | -6.0 | -5.5 |
| Open | -6.5 | -6.5 | -6.0 |
| History | |||
| 02/18 06:29 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 06:18 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 05:35 PM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 02/18 05:20 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 04:44 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 02/18 04:36 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 04:35 PM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 02/18 04:04 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 02/18 03:50 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 03:04 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 02/18 02:35 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 02:35 PM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 02/18 02:06 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 01:54 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 02/18 01:38 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 01:25 PM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 02/18 12:59 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 11:56 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 11:30 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 11:04 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 02/18 10:35 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 10:24 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 02/18 10:15 AM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 02/18 10:06 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 09:34 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 02/18 09:25 AM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 02/18 09:23 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 08:46 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 08:06 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 07:45 AM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 02/18 06:34 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 04:17 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 12:39 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 12:24 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 02/18 12:15 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 02/17 08:09 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/17 06:24 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
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