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Liberty at Bellarmine
Sat Feb 27, 2021
12:00pm ET
Louisville, KY
Liberty at Bellarmine: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Liberty by 3, Total Points: 126.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | LIB | adv | BELL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-17-0 | 9-19-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-13-0 | 4-12-0 | |
| Streak | L4 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 7-5-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Away | 5-12-0 | 7-11-0 |
Liberty Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Mid-Atlantic Christian | -- | W by 60 | -- |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Charlotte | -4.5 | W by 12 | +7.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Furman | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Wichita St | -4.0 | W by 17 | +13.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Vermont | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Maryland ES | -25.0 | W by 37 | +12.0 |
| 11/30 | Away | Fla Atlantic | +7.5 | L by 25 | -17.5 |
| 12/01 | Neutral | Col Charlestn | -4.5 | L by 9 | -13.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Miss Val St | -30.5 | W by 35 | +4.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Grd Canyon | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | TN State | -15.0 | W by 22 | +7.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | St. Andrews Presbyterian | -- | W by 73 | -- |
| 12/20 | Away | Utah Valley | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Alabama | +9.5 | L by 45 | -35.5 |
| 01/01 | Home | Boyce | -- | W by 42 | -- |
| 01/06 | Away | W Kentucky | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Jksnville St | -11.0 | L by 10 | -21.0 |
| 01/14 | Away | LA Tech | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Florida Intl | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Sam Hous St | -10.0 | W by 16 | +6.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Jksnville St | -5.5 | L by 11 | -16.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | N Mex State | -5.0 | L by 6 | -11.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | TX El Paso | -3.0 | W by 2 | -1.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Middle Tenn | -11.0 | W by 35 | +24.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | LA Tech | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Sam Hous St | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Florida Intl | -7.5 | L by 5 | -12.5 |
| 02/29 | Home | N Mex State | -14.5 | W by 25 | +10.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | TX El Paso | -9.0 | L by 16 | -25.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Middle Tenn | -5.0 | L by 8 | -13.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | W Kentucky | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | TX El Paso | -3.5 | L by 9 | -12.5 |
Bellarmine Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Washington | +10.5 | L by 34 | -23.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Kansas St | +16.0 | L by 8 | +8.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Chattanooga | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Bowling Grn | +3.5 | W by 18 | +21.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | Morehead St | -4.5 | L by 13 | -17.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Midway | -- | W by 21 | -- |
| 11/26 | Away | W Virginia | +8.0 | L by 4 | +4.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Louisville | +5.5 | L by 5 | +0.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Ball St | +1.5 | L by 9 | -7.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Boyce | -- | W by 34 | -- |
| 12/07 | Home | Berea College | -- | W by 39 | -- |
| 12/16 | Home | Evansville | -1.0 | L by 9 | -10.0 |
| 12/20 | Away | Utah | +20.5 | L by 42 | -21.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | BYU | +28.0 | L by 42 | -14.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | High Point | +9.5 | L by 5 | +4.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Austin Peay | -2.5 | L by 16 | -18.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Lipscomb | +3.5 | L by 11 | -7.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | N Alabama | +5.0 | L by 16 | -11.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Central Ark | -2.5 | L by 2 | -4.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | E Kentucky | +11.0 | L by 12 | -1.0 |
| 01/25 | Home | N Florida | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Jacksonville | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | Kennesaw St | +8.5 | W by 1 | +9.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Queens | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Stetson | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Fla Gulf Cst | +9.0 | L by 11 | -2.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | E Kentucky | +6.0 | L by 10 | -4.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Central Ark | -5.5 | W by 3 | -2.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | N Alabama | +4.5 | W by 12 | +16.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Lipscomb | +10.0 | L by 16 | -6.0 |
| 03/01 | Away | Austin Peay | +8.0 | L by 3 | +5.0 |
| LIB -3.0 | Open | -1.5 | High | -4.0 |
| Last | -2.5 | Low | -1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2348 games where the closing line favored the away team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Liberty won the game 1303 times (55.5%).
- The team like Bellarmine won the game 1045 times (44.5%).
- The team like Bellarmine did better against the spread, going 1169-1134-45 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.0 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 644 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Liberty did better against the spread, going 318-299-27 (51.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| Open | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/27 11:44 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 11:23 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 11:05 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 10:29 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 09:41 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 08:41 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 08:29 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
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