NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAY BEL
Points 77.4 69.7
Total Points   147.1
Points From 2-Pointers 34.9 32.4
Points From 3-Pointers 28.8 28.5
Points From Free Throws 13.6 8.8
Shooting DAY BEL
Field Goals Made 27.1 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 59.2
Field Goal % 47.7% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 31.6 31.3
2 Point Shooting % 55.3% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 25.2 27.9
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 13.6 8.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 12.0
Free Throw % 74.7% 73.1%
Ball Control DAY BEL
Rebounds 36.2 31.0
Rebounds - Defensive 28.3 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 6.7
Turnovers 9.7 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.5
Steals 5.6 5.8
Fouls 11.9 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Belmont

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAY BEL
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 66.2
% of Possessions with DAY BEL
2 Point Attempt 40.2% 40.3%
3 Point Attempt 32.1% 35.9%
Player Fouled 20.2% 17.1%
Turnover 13.9% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAY BEL
Shot Blocked 4.2% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 19.1%