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Dayton at VA Tech
Wed Dec 7, 2022
8:00pm ET
Blacksburg, VA
Dayton at VA Tech: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Virginia Tech by 6.5, Total Points: 127.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DAY | adv | VT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-16-1 | 15-19-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-10-0 | 8-13-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 6-9-0 | 11-6-0 | |
| Away | 10-7-1 | 4-13-0 |
Dayton Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | SIU Edward | -17.5 | W by 16 | -1.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Northwestern | +5.0 | L by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | LSU | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | St Johns | -1.0 | W by 7 | +6.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Houston | +12.5 | L by 14 | -1.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Youngs St | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | S Methodist | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Grambling St | -21.5 | W by 30 | +8.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Troy | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Cincinnati | +5.5 | W by 14 | +19.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Oakland | -12.0 | W by 24 | +12.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Longwood | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Davidson | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | U Mass | -7.5 | W by 4 | -3.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Duquesne | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Saint Louis | -13.0 | W by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Rhode Island | -12.5 | W by 34 | +21.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | La Salle | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Richmond | -3.5 | L by 5 | -8.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Geo Wshgtn | -12.5 | W by 22 | +9.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | St Bonavent | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | St Josephs | -2.0 | W by 15 | +13.0 |
| 02/09 | Away | VCU | -2.0 | L by 2 | -4.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | Duquesne | -8.0 | W by 16 | +8.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Fordham | -13.0 | W by 8 | -5.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Geo Mason | -3.5 | L by 4 | -7.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Davidson | -10.5 | W by 14 | +3.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Loyola-Chi | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Saint Louis | -9.5 | W by 17 | +7.5 |
| 03/08 | Home | VCU | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Duquesne | -7.0 | L by 8 | -15.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Nevada | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Arizona | +8.5 | L by 10 | -1.5 |
VA Tech Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Coppin St | -28.0 | W by 45 | +17.0 |
| 11/10 | Neutral | S Carolina | -6.0 | L by 2 | -8.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Campbell | -21.5 | W by 16 | -5.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Wofford | -18.0 | W by 22 | +4.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Boise St | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Iowa St | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | +2.5 | L by 34 | -31.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Auburn | +9.0 | L by 17 | -8.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Louisville | -14.0 | W by 7 | -7.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Valparaiso | -21.5 | W by 21 | -0.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Vermont | -10.5 | W by 22 | +11.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | American | -17.0 | W by 22 | +5.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | Wake Forest | +4.5 | L by 23 | -18.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Florida St | -1.0 | L by 3 | -4.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Clemson | +2.0 | W by 15 | +17.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Miami | -2.0 | L by 4 | -6.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Virginia | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | NC State | +4.5 | W by 6 | +10.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Boston Col | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | GA Tech | -9.5 | W by 24 | +14.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Duke | +3.5 | L by 10 | -6.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Miami | +4.0 | L by 8 | -4.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Notre Dame | -5.5 | L by 8 | -13.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Florida St | -5.5 | W by 8 | +2.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | N Carolina | +11.0 | L by 15 | -4.0 |
| 02/19 | Home | Virginia | -3.5 | W by 34 | +30.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Pittsburgh | +3.0 | L by 15 | -12.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Syracuse | +1.0 | L by 13 | -12.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Wake Forest | -1.5 | W by 11 | +9.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Louisville | -7.5 | W by 16 | +8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Notre Dame | -10.5 | W by 6 | -4.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Florida St | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 03/19 | Home | Richmond | -6.0 | W by 16 | +10.0 |
| 03/23 | Away | Ohio St | +6.0 | L by 8 | -2.0 |
| VT -6.5 | Open | -6.5 | High | -8.0 |
| Last | -7.0 | Low | -6.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2949 games where the closing line favored the home team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Virginia Tech won the game 2136 times (72.4%).
- The team like Dayton won the game 813 times (27.6%).
- The team like Virginia Tech did better against the spread, going 1460-1442-47 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3251 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Dayton did better against the spread, going 1621-1577-53 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.0 | -7.0 | -- |
| Open | -7.5 | -8.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/07 07:52 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 06:11 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 06:08 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 04:56 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 03:53 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 02:47 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 02:29 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 01:58 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 01:37 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 01:20 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 11:02 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 09:14 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/07 09:07 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 08:29 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 08:05 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 06:54 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 12/07 06:10 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 12:46 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 07:44 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 12/06 05:46 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
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