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Florida at Tennessee
Sun Mar 7, 2021
12:00pm ET
Knoxville, TN
Florida at Tennessee: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Tennessee by 6, Total Points: 136.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | FLA | adv | TENN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-19-1 | 18-17-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-11-0 | 11-8-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 7-8-0 | 10-5-1 | |
| Away | 9-11-1 | 8-12-0 |
Florida Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Loyola-MD | -24.5 | W by 20 | -4.5 |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Virginia | -1.0 | L by 3 | -4.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Florida A&M | -34.0 | W by 21 | -13.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Florida St | -8.5 | W by 21 | +12.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Pittsburgh | -5.0 | W by 15 | +10.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Baylor | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Wake Forest | -5.0 | L by 11 | -16.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Merrimack | -21.5 | W by 20 | -1.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Richmond | -11.0 | W by 11 | 0.0 |
| 12/14 | Neutral | E Carolina | -15.0 | W by 5 | -10.0 |
| 12/19 | Neutral | Michigan | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Grambling St | -26.5 | W by 39 | +12.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Quinnipiac | -21.5 | W by 25 | +3.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Kentucky | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Mississippi | -2.5 | L by 18 | -20.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Arkansas | -7.5 | W by 22 | +14.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Tennessee | +10.0 | L by 19 | -9.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Missouri | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Miss State | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Georgia | -8.0 | W by 4 | -4.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Kentucky | +7.5 | W by 3 | +10.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Texas A&M | +4.0 | L by 1 | +3.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Auburn | +2.0 | W by 16 | +18.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | LSU | -11.0 | W by 2 | -9.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Georgia | -4.0 | W by 6 | +2.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Alabama | +10.0 | L by 5 | +5.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Vanderbilt | -15.0 | W by 13 | -2.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Missouri | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | S Carolina | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Alabama | -2.5 | W by 18 | +15.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Vanderbilt | -9.0 | L by 1 | -10.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Georgia | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Alabama | +4.5 | W by 14 | +18.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Texas A&M | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Auburn | +5.5 | L by 19 | -13.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Colorado | +1.5 | L by 2 | -0.5 |
Tennessee Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | TN Tech | -32.5 | W by 38 | +5.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Wisconsin | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Wofford | -31.5 | W by 21 | -10.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Syracuse | -12.5 | W by 17 | +4.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Purdue | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Kansas | +1.5 | L by 9 | -7.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | N Carolina | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Geo Mason | -15.5 | W by 21 | +5.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Illinois | -7.0 | W by 7 | 0.0 |
| 12/12 | Home | GA Southern | -34.0 | W by 18 | -16.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | NC State | -9.5 | W by 9 | -0.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Tarleton St | -22.5 | W by 19 | -3.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Norfolk St | -24.0 | W by 37 | +13.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Mississippi | -12.0 | W by 26 | +14.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Miss State | -2.0 | L by 5 | -7.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Georgia | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Florida | -10.0 | W by 19 | +9.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Alabama | -5.5 | W by 20 | +14.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Vanderbilt | -13.5 | W by 13 | -0.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | S Carolina | -14.0 | L by 4 | -18.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Kentucky | +1.5 | W by 11 | +12.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | LSU | -14.0 | W by 20 | +6.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Texas A&M | -2.0 | L by 16 | -18.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Arkansas | -8.5 | W by 29 | +20.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Vanderbilt | -20.0 | W by 35 | +15.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Missouri | -12.0 | W by 5 | -7.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Texas A&M | -11.0 | W by 35 | +24.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Auburn | -6.5 | W by 8 | +1.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Alabama | +4.5 | W by 7 | +11.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | S Carolina | -5.5 | W by 7 | +1.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Kentucky | -8.5 | L by 4 | -12.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Miss State | -9.5 | L by 17 | -26.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | St Peters | -22.0 | W by 34 | +12.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Texas | -6.5 | W by 4 | -2.5 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Creighton | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 03/31 | Neutral | Purdue | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| TENN -6.0 | Open | -5.5 | High | -6.0 |
| Last | -5.5 | Low | -4.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3144 games where the closing line favored the home team by 5 to 7 points. In these games:
- The team like Tennessee won the game 2246 times (71.4%).
- The team like Florida won the game 898 times (28.6%).
- The team like Tennessee did better against the spread, going 1575-1493-76 (51.3% ATS).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 169 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Florida did better against the spread, going 86-83 (50.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.0 | -5.0 | -6.0 |
| Open | -4.5 | -5.0 | -5.0 |
| History | |||
| 03/07 11:59 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/07 11:55 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 03/07 11:38 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/07 11:17 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/07 10:38 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 03/07 10:38 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/07 09:59 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/07 09:05 AM | -5.5 | -- | -5.5 |
| 03/07 08:56 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/07 08:45 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 03/07 08:15 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 03/07 07:44 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/07 06:35 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/07 04:04 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/07 01:25 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 03/06 06:44 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
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