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S Mississippi at N Florida
Thu Nov 14, 2019
7:00pm ET
Jacksonville, FL
S Mississippi at N Florida: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: North Florida by 4.5, Total Points: 148.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | USM | adv | UNF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-16-3 | 17-12-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-9-2 | 11-6-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-5-2 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 6-4-2 | 8-6-0 | |
| Away | 5-12-1 | 9-6-1 |
S Mississippi Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | William Carey | -- | W by 22 | -- |
| 11/10 | Away | Akron | +7.5 | L by 18 | -10.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Xavier (LA) | -- | W by 31 | -- |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Utah Valley | -2.0 | L by 2 | -4.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | CS Fullerton | -1.5 | L by 7 | -8.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | S Dakota St | +2.5 | L by 11 | -8.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | WI-Milwkee | +3.5 | W by 6 | +9.5 |
| 12/01 | Away | UAB | +9.5 | W by 3 | +12.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | NW State | -15.0 | W by 9 | -6.0 |
| 12/13 | Away | McNeese St | +6.5 | L by 19 | -12.5 |
| 12/18 | Away | Lamar | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Mississippi | -9.0 | L by 17 | -26.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | GA Southern | -4.0 | L by 21 | -25.0 |
| 01/04 | Home | Georgia St | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | James Mad | +7.5 | W by 10 | +17.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | UL Monroe | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Troy | +4.5 | L by 26 | -21.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Arkansas St | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Troy | +2.0 | W by 1 | +3.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Coastal Car | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Marshall | +4.0 | L by 16 | -12.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Arkansas St | +5.5 | L by 7 | -1.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Texas St | +2.0 | L by 5 | -3.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Old Dominion | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | W Michigan | -7.5 | W by 32 | +24.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | UL Monroe | -7.5 | L by 9 | -16.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Texas St | -4.0 | W by 4 | 0.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | S Alabama | -4.0 | L by 19 | -23.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Louisiana | +2.5 | W by 11 | +13.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | S Alabama | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Louisiana | +8.5 | L by 16 | -7.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Texas St | -2.5 | L by 16 | -18.5 |
N Florida Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Coastal Georgia | -- | W by 37 | -- |
| 11/09 | Away | Charl South | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 11/13 | Away | S Car State | -5.0 | L by 10 | -15.0 |
| 11/16 | Home | Presbyterian | -1.0 | L by 12 | -13.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | NW State | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Maine | +4.0 | W by 9 | +13.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | LSU | +22.0 | L by 12 | +10.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Iowa | +26.5 | L by 25 | +1.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | High Point | +4.5 | L by 7 | -2.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Edward Waters | -- | W by 52 | -- |
| 12/09 | Home | GA Southern | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Trinity Baptist | (Pick) | W by 41 | +41.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | Florida St | +16.0 | L by 16 | 0.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | Georgia | +16.5 | L by 18 | -1.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | Miami | +19.5 | L by 40 | -20.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | Stetson | +7.5 | L by 1 | +6.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Fla Gulf Cst | +7.0 | W by 20 | +27.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | Jacksonville | -5.0 | W by 8 | +3.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | Kennesaw St | +3.0 | W by 9 | +12.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Queens | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Bellarmine | -1.0 | W by 8 | +7.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | E Kentucky | +7.5 | L by 13 | -5.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Lipscomb | +2.5 | W by 9 | +11.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Austin Peay | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | N Alabama | -5.0 | L by 5 | -10.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Central Ark | -11.5 | L by 2 | -13.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Queens | +2.5 | W by 14 | +16.5 |
| 02/16 | Away | Kennesaw St | +4.0 | W by 1 | +5.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Jacksonville | -1.0 | L by 12 | -13.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Fla Gulf Cst | -3.5 | L by 19 | -22.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Stetson | -2.0 | W by 19 | +17.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Austin Peay | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| UNF -4.5 | Open | -7.0 | High | -7.0 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2667 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like North Florida won the game 1777 times (66.6%).
- The team like Southern Miss won the game 890 times (33.4%).
- The team like North Florida did better against the spread, going 1348-1274-45 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 436 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Southern Miss did better against the spread, going 234-194-8 (54.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -4.0 | -- |
| Open | -6.0 | -6.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/14 06:56 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/14 06:44 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/14 06:24 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/14 06:11 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/14 05:25 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/14 04:24 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/14 04:14 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/14 03:24 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/14 03:15 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/14 02:34 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/14 02:24 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/14 01:36 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/14 12:55 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/14 11:34 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/14 11:24 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/14 11:15 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/14 10:14 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 11/14 09:03 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
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