NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MINN PUR
Points 67.3 81.3
Total Points   148.6
Points From 2-Pointers 35.2 42.6
Points From 3-Pointers 23.1 22.3
Points From Free Throws 8.9 16.4
Shooting MINN PUR
Field Goals Made 25.3 28.7
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 57.8
Field Goal % 41.9% 49.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 21.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 40.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 52.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.9 17.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 43.2%
Free Throws Made 8.9 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 13.1 22.5
Free Throw % 67.9% 73.0%
Ball Control MINN PUR
Rebounds 28.4 41.2
Rebounds - Defensive 20.4 29.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 12.1
Turnovers 9.0 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.3
Steals 5.7 5.6
Fouls 16.5 11.6

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MINN PUR
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 71.8
% of Possessions with MINN PUR
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 49.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 20.9%
Player Fouled 16.8% 23.8%
Turnover 13.0% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MINN PUR
Shot Blocked 5.7% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 37.2%